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De Graafschap vs Jong AZ Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

De Graafschap

14th in table · 15 pts

WLDLW

Mon, 17 Aug 202619:00

2 : 5

Full time

Jong AZ

10th in table · 17 pts

WLDWL

Pre-match win probability

55.1%De Graafschap20.8%Draw24%Jong AZ

Our prediction

De Graafschap

De Graafschap is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.7
Confidence55.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • De Graafschap 55.1%
  • Draw 20.8%
  • Jong AZ 24%

Season statistics

Eerste Divisie · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

De GraafschapJong AZ
Goals scored (avg)
1.22.6
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.62.2
Wins
45
Played
1313

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

De Graafschap4W 2D 4L in last 10
  • 30 OctFC Volendam1 – 2De GraafschapW
  • 27 OctRoda1 – 0De GraafschapL
  • 23 OctDe Graafschap1 – 1WaalwijkD
  • 19 OctJong Ajax2 – 1De GraafschapL
  • 9 OctDe Graafschap2 – 1Jong UtrechtW
  • 3 OctFC Eindhoven2 – 2De GraafschapD
  • 27 SeptDe Graafschap1 – 0Den BoschW
  • 20 SeptDe Graafschap1 – 2NAC BredaL
  • 11 SeptEmmen1 – 2De GraafschapW
  • 4 SeptHeracles5 – 0De GraafschapL
Jong AZ4W 2D 4L in last 10
  • 30 OctRoda2 – 1Jong AZL
  • 23 OctJong AZ5 – 4Helmond SportW
  • 16 OctVVV Venlo4 – 4Jong AZD
  • 9 OctJong AZ0 – 1Den BoschL
  • 18 SeptJong AZ4 – 1FC VolendamW
  • 14 SeptJong PSV U211 – 1Jong AZD
  • 11 SeptHeracles3 – 2Jong AZL
  • 5 SeptDordrecht3 – 6Jong AZW
  • 31 AugJong AZ2 – 1Jong UtrechtW
  • 28 AugJong AZ1 – 2MVVL
H2H
Head to headDe Graafschap 6W · 2D · Jong AZ 1W · 3.1 goals a game
  • 6 AprDe Graafschap5 – 0Jong AZ
  • 22 SeptJong AZ1 – 3De Graafschap
  • 21 FebDe Graafschap5 – 1Jong AZ
  • 23 SeptJong AZ2 – 2De Graafschap
  • 29 MarDe Graafschap2 – 1Jong AZ
  • 23 OctJong AZ3 – 0De Graafschap
  • 3 AprJong AZ0 – 1De Graafschap
  • 30 SeptDe Graafschap2 – 0Jong AZ
  • 4 MarDe Graafschap0 – 0Jong AZ

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.5% · 1.011% · 23
1.5 goals22% · 1.083% · 8
2.5 goals17.9% · 1.337% · 3.4
3.5 goals13.2% · 1.812.4% · 1.91

Both teams to score

Yes68.8%
No31.2%

Double chance

1X61.5%
X238.5%

Match result

De Graafschap1.7
Draw4.5
Jong AZ3.9

Both teams to score

Yes68.8% · 1.36
No31.2% · 3

1X

Chance61.5%
Odds1.25

X2

Chance38.5%
Odds2

De Graafschap

Chance55.1%
Odds1.7

Draw

Chance20.8%
Odds4.5

Jong AZ

Chance24%
Odds3.9

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: De Graafschap at 1.7

De GraafschapJong AZ
Recent form50%50%
Attack32%68%
Defence64%36%
Goals model32%68%
Head-to-head78%22%
Overall70%30%

Trends

Trend · Eerste Divisie

De Graafschap scored 1.2 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Eerste Divisie

De Graafschap conceded 1.6 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Eerste Divisie

Failed to score in 2 of those 10.

Trend · Eerste Divisie

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 10.

De Graafschap vs Jong AZ: prediction & preview

Netherlands · Eerste Divisie · Mon, 17 Aug 2026

De Graafschap meet Jong AZ in the Netherlands, Eerste Divisie on 17 August 2026 at 19:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–5.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is De Graafschap at 1.7. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 55.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.33, about 71.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.36.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

De Graafschap vs Jong AZ FAQs

4 questions

What time is the De Graafschap vs Jong AZ match?

Kickoff is 19:00 on 17 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for De Graafschap vs Jong AZ?

De Graafschap is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.7. The margin-adjusted share is about 55.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.33 and under 2.5 is 3.4.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.36. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.