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Defensor Sporting vs Cerro Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Uruguay · Primera DivisiónSat, 10 Oct 2026

Defensor Sporting

14th in table · 36 pts

LLLDW

Sat, 10 Oct 202615:00

2 : 3

Full time

Cerro

13th in table · 37 pts

DLDLL

Pre-match win probability

51.5%Defensor Sporting27.9%Draw20.6%Cerro

Our prediction

1X · Defensor Sporting

Defensor Sporting vs Cerro listed tip from the board.

Odds1.18
Confidence51.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Defensor Sporting 51.5%
  • Draw 27.9%
  • Cerro 20.6%

Season statistics

Primera División · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Defensor SportingCerro
Goals scored (avg)
1.30.9
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.31.7
Wins
810
Played
3435

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Defensor Sporting3W 2D 4L in last 9
  • 1 NovProgreso0 – 2Defensor SportingW
  • 24 OctDefensor Sporting3 – 3Racing MontevideoD
  • 17 OctBoston River1 – 0Defensor SportingL
  • 3 OctAlbion FC3 – 2Defensor SportingL
  • 30 SeptDefensor Sporting0 – 1Plaza ColoniaL
  • 27 SeptDefensor Sporting1 – 0DanubioW
  • 20 SeptClub Nacional3 – 2Defensor SportingL
  • 13 SeptDefensor Sporting1 – 0Deportivo MaldonadoW
  • 9 SeptCerro Largo1 – 1Defensor SportingD
Cerro1W 2D 6L in last 9
  • 31 OctCerro1 – 2Central EspanolL
  • 25 OctAtletico Torque3 – 1CerroL
  • 16 OctCerro1 – 1Cerro LargoD
  • 4 OctCerro0 – 2WanderersL
  • 27 SeptJuventud0 – 0CerroD
  • 24 SeptCerro1 – 2Deportivo MaldonadoL
  • 19 SeptCerro1 – 2PenarolL
  • 13 SeptProgreso1 – 3CerroW
  • 10 SeptCerro0 – 2CerritoL
H2H
Head to headDefensor Sporting 4W · 3D · Cerro 2W · 2.7 goals a game
  • 3 AugDefensor Sporting2 – 1Cerro
  • 5 AprCerro1 – 0Defensor Sporting
  • 12 OctCerro1 – 0Defensor Sporting
  • 23 JunDefensor Sporting2 – 1Cerro
  • 14 AprDefensor Sporting3 – 2Cerro
  • 7 SeptCerro1 – 1Defensor Sporting
  • 25 FebDefensor Sporting5 – 0Cerro
  • 15 NovCerro1 – 1Defensor Sporting
  • 8 AprDefensor Sporting1 – 1Cerro

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.8% · 1.082.9% · 8
1.5 goals16.8% · 1.48.5% · 2.75
2.5 goals10.4% · 2.2514.5% · 1.62
3.5 goals5.4% · 4.3319.6% · 1.2

Both teams to score

Yes44.3%
No55.7%

Double chance

1X61.8%
X238.2%

Match result

Defensor Sporting1.73
Draw3.2
Cerro4.33

Both teams to score

Yes44.3% · 2.1
No55.7% · 1.67

1X

Chance61.8%
Odds1.18

X2

Chance38.2%
Odds1.91

Defensor Sporting

Chance51.5%
Odds1.73

Draw

Chance27.9%
Odds3.2

Cerro

Chance20.6%
Odds4.33

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.18

Defensor SportingCerro
Recent form69%31%
Attack59%41%
Defence57%43%
Goals model59%41%
Head-to-head61%39%
Overall71%29%

Trends

Trend · Primera División

Defensor Sporting scored 1.3 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Primera División

Defensor Sporting conceded 1.3 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Primera División

Failed to score in 2 of those 9.

Trend · Primera División

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

Defensor Sporting vs Cerro: prediction & preview

Uruguay · Primera División · Sat, 10 Oct 2026

Defensor Sporting meet Cerro in the Uruguay, Primera División on 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Defensor Sporting at 1.73. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 51.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.62, about 58.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Defensor Sporting vs Cerro FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Defensor Sporting vs Cerro match?

Kickoff is 15:00 on 10 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Defensor Sporting vs Cerro?

Defensor Sporting is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.73. The margin-adjusted share is about 51.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.25 and under 2.5 is 1.62.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.1. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.