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Defensor Sporting vs Deportivo Maldonado Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Defensor Sporting

11th in table · 39 pts

LLLDW

Sun, 13 Sept 202620:00

1 : 0

Full time

Deportivo Maldonado

2nd in table · 62 pts

DWLWW

Pre-match win probability

34.4%Defensor Sporting29.8%Draw35.8%Deportivo Maldonado

Our prediction

X2 · Defensor Sporting

Defensor Sporting vs Deportivo Maldonado listed tip from the board.

Odds1.4
Confidence35.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Defensor Sporting 34.4%
  • Draw 29.8%
  • Deportivo Maldonado 35.8%

Season statistics

Primera División · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Defensor SportingDeportivo Maldonado
Goals scored (avg)
1.42.4
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.70.8
Wins
918
Played
3534

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Defensor Sporting2W 2D 5L in last 9
  • 1 NovProgreso0 – 2Defensor SportingW
  • 24 OctDefensor Sporting3 – 3Racing MontevideoD
  • 17 OctBoston River1 – 0Defensor SportingL
  • 10 OctDefensor Sporting2 – 3CerroL
  • 3 OctAlbion FC3 – 2Defensor SportingL
  • 30 SeptDefensor Sporting0 – 1Plaza ColoniaL
  • 27 SeptDefensor Sporting1 – 0DanubioW
  • 20 SeptClub Nacional3 – 2Defensor SportingL
  • 9 SeptCerro Largo1 – 1Defensor SportingD
Deportivo Maldonado7W 1D 1L in last 9
  • 29 OctPorongos0 – 4Deportivo MaldonadoW
  • 24 OctDeportivo Maldonado2 – 1DanubioW
  • 20 OctClub Nacional3 – 2Deportivo MaldonadoL
  • 15 OctDeportivo Maldonado4 – 1Albion FCW
  • 10 OctDeportivo Maldonado1 – 1Liverpool MontevideoD
  • 3 OctDeportivo Maldonado3 – 0Central EspanolW
  • 27 SeptAtletico Torque0 – 2Deportivo MaldonadoW
  • 24 SeptCerro1 – 2Deportivo MaldonadoW
  • 19 SeptDeportivo Maldonado2 – 0Cerro LargoW
H2H
Head to headDefensor Sporting 2W · 3D · Deportivo Maldonado 4W · 2 goals a game
  • 15 MarDeportivo Maldonado1 – 0Defensor Sporting
  • 29 SeptDefensor Sporting3 – 1Deportivo Maldonado
  • 9 JunDeportivo Maldonado0 – 2Defensor Sporting
  • 24 MarDeportivo Maldonado1 – 0Defensor Sporting
  • 25 NovDeportivo Maldonado2 – 1Defensor Sporting
  • 23 AprDefensor Sporting1 – 1Deportivo Maldonado
  • 15 OctDeportivo Maldonado0 – 0Defensor Sporting
  • 29 MayDefensor Sporting1 – 1Deportivo Maldonado
  • 18 MarDeportivo Maldonado2 – 1Defensor Sporting

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22% · 1.072.8% · 8.5
1.5 goals17.3% · 1.367.8% · 3
2.5 goals10.9% · 2.1514.1% · 1.67
3.5 goals6.3% · 3.7518.8% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X48.3%
X251.7%

Match result

Defensor Sporting2.6
Draw3
Deportivo Maldonado2.5

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.83
No50% · 1.83

1X

Chance48.3%
Odds1.5

X2

Chance51.7%
Odds1.4

Defensor Sporting

Chance34.4%
Odds2.6

Draw

Chance29.8%
Odds3

Deportivo Maldonado

Chance35.8%
Odds2.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X2 at 1.4

Defensor SportingDeportivo Maldonado
Recent form27%73%
Attack37%63%
Defence37%63%
Goals model37%63%
Head-to-head39%61%
Overall49%51%

Trends

Trend · Primera División

Defensor Sporting scored 1.4 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Primera División

Defensor Sporting conceded 1.7 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Primera División

Failed to score in 2 of those 9.

Trend · Primera División

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

Defensor Sporting vs Deportivo Maldonado: prediction & preview

Uruguay · Primera División · Sun, 13 Sept 2026

Defensor Sporting meet Deportivo Maldonado in the Uruguay, Primera División on 13 September 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Deportivo Maldonado at 2.5. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 35.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.67, about 56.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Defensor Sporting vs Deportivo Maldonado FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Defensor Sporting vs Deportivo Maldonado match?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 13 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Defensor Sporting vs Deportivo Maldonado?

Deportivo Maldonado is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.5. The margin-adjusted share is about 35.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.15 and under 2.5 is 1.67.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.