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Defensor Sporting vs Racing Montevideo Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Uruguay · Primera DivisiónSat, 24 Oct 2026

Defensor Sporting

11th in table · 39 pts

LLLLW

Sat, 24 Oct 202620:00

3 : 3

Full time

Racing Montevideo

4th in table · 60 pts

WLLLD

Pre-match win probability

30.9%Defensor Sporting29.6%Draw39.5%Racing Montevideo

Our prediction

1X · Defensor Sporting

Defensor Sporting vs Racing Montevideo listed tip from the board.

Odds1.53
Confidence39.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Defensor Sporting 30.9%
  • Draw 29.6%
  • Racing Montevideo 39.5%

Season statistics

Primera División · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Defensor SportingRacing Montevideo
Goals scored (avg)
1.2–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.3–
Wins
916
Played
3535

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Defensor Sporting3W 1D 5L in last 9
  • 1 NovProgreso0 – 2Defensor SportingW
  • 17 OctBoston River1 – 0Defensor SportingL
  • 10 OctDefensor Sporting2 – 3CerroL
  • 3 OctAlbion FC3 – 2Defensor SportingL
  • 30 SeptDefensor Sporting0 – 1Plaza ColoniaL
  • 27 SeptDefensor Sporting1 – 0DanubioW
  • 20 SeptClub Nacional3 – 2Defensor SportingL
  • 13 SeptDefensor Sporting1 – 0Deportivo MaldonadoW
  • 9 SeptCerro Largo1 – 1Defensor SportingD
Racing Montevideo0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headDefensor Sporting 6W · 2D · Racing Montevideo 1W · 1.8 goals a game
    • 30 MayRacing Montevideo0 – 0Defensor Sporting
    • 18 AprRacing Montevideo1 – 1Defensor Sporting
    • 17 AugRacing Montevideo0 – 1Defensor Sporting
    • 16 FebDefensor Sporting2 – 0Racing Montevideo
    • 24 OctDefensor Sporting1 – 0Racing Montevideo
    • 13 SeptDefensor Sporting1 – 2Racing Montevideo
    • 22 JunRacing Montevideo0 – 1Defensor Sporting
    • 2 MarRacing Montevideo1 – 2Defensor Sporting
    • 11 NovDefensor Sporting3 – 0Racing Montevideo

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals21.7% · 1.082.9% · 8
    1.5 goals16.8% · 1.48.5% · 2.75
    2.5 goals10.4% · 2.2514.5% · 1.62
    3.5 goals5.9% · 419.2% · 1.22

    Both teams to score

    Yes48.5%
    No51.5%

    Double chance

    1X47.1%
    X252.9%

    Match result

    Defensor Sporting2.88
    Draw3
    Racing Montevideo2.25

    Both teams to score

    Yes48.5% · 1.91
    No51.5% · 1.8

    1X

    Chance47.1%
    Odds1.53

    X2

    Chance52.9%
    Odds1.36

    Defensor Sporting

    Chance30.9%
    Odds2.88

    Draw

    Chance29.6%
    Odds3

    Racing Montevideo

    Chance39.5%
    Odds2.25

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: 1X at 1.53

    Defensor SportingRacing Montevideo
    Recent form91%9%
    Attack55%45%
    Defence63%37%
    Goals model55%45%
    Head-to-head78%22%
    Overall44%56%

    Trends

    Trend · Primera División

    Defensor Sporting scored 1.2 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Primera División

    Defensor Sporting conceded 1.3 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Primera División

    Failed to score in 2 of those 9.

    Trend · Primera División

    Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

    Defensor Sporting vs Racing Montevideo: prediction & preview

    Uruguay · Primera División · Sat, 24 Oct 2026

    Defensor Sporting meet Racing Montevideo in the Uruguay, Primera División on 24 October 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–3.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Racing Montevideo at 2.25. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 39.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.62, about 58.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Defensor Sporting vs Racing Montevideo FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is the Defensor Sporting vs Racing Montevideo match?

    Kickoff is 20:00 on 24 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    What are the safest picks for Defensor Sporting vs Racing Montevideo?

    Racing Montevideo is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.25. The margin-adjusted share is about 39.5%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 2.25 and under 2.5 is 1.62.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.