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Deportivo Pasto vs Independiente Medellin Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Colombia · Copa ColombiaThu, 10 Sept 2026

Deportivo Pasto

Thu, 10 Sept 202602:10

1 : 4

Full time

Independiente Medellin

WLLLL

Pre-match win probability

24.9%Deportivo Pasto29.1%Draw46.1%Independiente Medellin

Our prediction

Independiente Medellin

Independiente Medellin is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.05
Confidence46.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Deportivo Pasto 24.9%
  • Draw 29.1%
  • Independiente Medellin 46.1%

Season statistics

Copa Colombia · highlighted side is stronger

Deportivo PastoIndependiente Medellin
Goals scored (avg)
–1.2
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
–1.9

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Deportivo Pasto0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Independiente Medellin2W 2D 6L in last 10
    • 29 OctInternacional de Bogota3 – 1Independiente MedellinL
    • 26 OctAtletico Nacional2 – 1Independiente MedellinL
    • 18 OctIndependiente Medellin0 – 2Once CaldasL
    • 15 OctAtletico Nacional3 – 2Independiente MedellinL
    • 12 OctAmerica de Cali1 – 2Independiente MedellinW
    • 6 OctIndependiente Medellin0 – 1Santa FeL
    • 30 SeptIndependiente Medellin2 – 2MillonariosD
    • 27 SeptJunior2 – 0Independiente MedellinL
    • 23 SeptIndependiente Medellin2 – 1JaguaresW
    • 18 SeptBucaramanga2 – 2Independiente MedellinD
    H2H
    Head to headDeportivo Pasto 3W · 1D · Independiente Medellin 5W · 2.2 goals a game
    • 25 JulIndependiente Medellin3 – 2Deportivo Pasto
    • 18 JanDeportivo Pasto1 – 0Independiente Medellin
    • 19 AugDeportivo Pasto1 – 2Independiente Medellin
    • 4 MarIndependiente Medellin1 – 0Deportivo Pasto
    • 9 SeptDeportivo Pasto1 – 0Independiente Medellin
    • 1 MarIndependiente Medellin1 – 0Deportivo Pasto
    • 26 OctDeportivo Pasto0 – 0Independiente Medellin
    • 18 AugDeportivo Pasto3 – 1Independiente Medellin
    • 10 AugIndependiente Medellin3 – 1Deportivo Pasto

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals22.1% · 1.072.6% · 9
    1.5 goals17.8% · 1.337.3% · 3.25
    2.5 goals11.4% · 2.0813.7% · 1.73
    3.5 goals6.3% · 3.7518.9% · 1.25

    Both teams to score

    Yes50%
    No50%

    Double chance

    1X43.4%
    X256.6%

    Match result

    Deportivo Pasto3.8
    Draw3.25
    Independiente Medellin2.05

    Both teams to score

    Yes50% · 1.83
    No50% · 1.83

    1X

    Chance43.4%
    Odds1.67

    X2

    Chance56.6%
    Odds1.28

    Deportivo Pasto

    Chance24.9%
    Odds3.8

    Draw

    Chance29.1%
    Odds3.25

    Independiente Medellin

    Chance46.1%
    Odds2.05

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Independiente Medellin at 2.05

    Deportivo PastoIndependiente Medellin
    Recent form11%89%
    Attack45%55%
    Defence48%52%
    Goals model45%55%
    Head-to-head39%61%
    Overall35%65%

    Trends

    Trend · Copa Colombia

    Independiente Medellin scored 1.2 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Copa Colombia

    Independiente Medellin conceded 1.9 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Copa Colombia

    Failed to score in 3 of those 10.

    Trend · Copa Colombia

    Over 2.5 goals in 7 of those 10.

    Deportivo Pasto vs Independiente Medellin: prediction & preview

    Colombia · Copa Colombia · Thu, 10 Sept 2026

    Deportivo Pasto meet Independiente Medellin in the Colombia, Copa Colombia on 10 September 2026 at 02:10 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–4.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Independiente Medellin at 2.05. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 46.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.73, about 54.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Deportivo Pasto vs Independiente Medellin FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is the Deportivo Pasto vs Independiente Medellin match?

    Kickoff is 02:10 on 10 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    What are the safest picks for Deportivo Pasto vs Independiente Medellin?

    Independiente Medellin is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.05. The margin-adjusted share is about 46.1%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 2.08 and under 2.5 is 1.73.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.