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Deportivo Recoleta vs Libertad Asuncion Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Paraguay · Division Profesional - ClausuraMon, 5 Oct 2026

Deportivo Recoleta

11th in table · 15 pts

LWDWW

Mon, 5 Oct 202614:00

1 : 2

Full time

Libertad Asuncion

4th in table · 30 pts

DLWWL

Pre-match win probability

20.7%Deportivo Recoleta24.9%Draw54.4%Libertad Asuncion

Our prediction

Libertad Asuncion

Libertad Asuncion is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.65
Confidence54.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Deportivo Recoleta 20.7%
  • Draw 24.9%
  • Libertad Asuncion 54.4%

Season statistics

Division Profesional - Clausura · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Deportivo RecoletaLibertad Asuncion
Goals scored (avg)
1.21.2
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.81
Wins
49
Played
1717

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Deportivo Recoleta4W 2D 3L in last 9
  • 31 OctDeportivo Recoleta3 – 0Sportivo AmelianoW
  • 28 OctSportivo Luqueno0 – 2Deportivo RecoletaW
  • 24 Oct2 de Mayo1 – 1Deportivo RecoletaD
  • 16 OctDeportivo Recoleta1 – 0Rubio NUW
  • 12 OctNacional Asuncion1 – 0Deportivo RecoletaL
  • 28 SeptClub Sp. San Lorenzo0 – 0Deportivo RecoletaD
  • 24 SeptDeportivo Recoleta3 – 1Guairena FCW
  • 20 SeptSportivo Luqueno1 – 0Deportivo RecoletaL
  • 12 SeptDeportivo Recoleta1 – 3Sportivo TrinidenseL
Libertad Asuncion3W 3D 3L in last 9
  • 31 OctClub Sp. San Lorenzo2 – 1Libertad AsuncionL
  • 27 OctLibertad Asuncion3 – 1Independiente F.b.c.W
  • 23 OctLibertad Asuncion1 – 0Sportivo LuquenoW
  • 18 OctSportivo Trinidense1 – 0Libertad AsuncionL
  • 11 OctLibertad Asuncion2 – 2Club GuaraniD
  • 28 SeptLibertad Asuncion0 – 1OlimpiaL
  • 23 SeptFernando De La Mora1 – 1Libertad AsuncionD
  • 19 SeptLibertad Asuncion1 – 1Sportivo AmelianoD
  • 11 Sept2 de Mayo0 – 2Libertad AsuncionW
H2H
Head to headDeportivo Recoleta 1W · 3D · Libertad Asuncion 3W · 3.4 goals a game
  • 30 JulLibertad Asuncion4 – 1Deportivo Recoleta
  • 31 MarLibertad Asuncion1 – 0Deportivo Recoleta
  • 2 FebDeportivo Recoleta2 – 1Libertad Asuncion
  • 27 OctDeportivo Recoleta2 – 2Libertad Asuncion
  • 10 AugLibertad Asuncion1 – 1Deportivo Recoleta
  • 14 AprDeportivo Recoleta1 – 1Libertad Asuncion
  • 3 FebLibertad Asuncion5 – 2Deportivo Recoleta

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.7% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.6% · 1.25.4% · 4.33
2.5 goals14.1% · 1.6711% · 2.15
3.5 goals9% · 2.6216.4% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes55.7%
No44.3%

Double chance

1X38.6%
X261.4%

Match result

Deportivo Recoleta4.33
Draw3.6
Libertad Asuncion1.65

Both teams to score

Yes55.7% · 1.67
No44.3% · 2.1

1X

Chance38.6%
Odds1.91

X2

Chance61.4%
Odds1.2

Deportivo Recoleta

Chance20.7%
Odds4.33

Draw

Chance24.9%
Odds3.6

Libertad Asuncion

Chance54.4%
Odds1.65

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Libertad Asuncion at 1.65

Deportivo RecoletaLibertad Asuncion
Recent form54%46%
Attack50%50%
Defence52%48%
Goals model50%50%
Head-to-head36%64%
Overall28%72%

Trends

Trend · Division Profesional - Clausura

Deportivo Recoleta scored 1.2 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Division Profesional - Clausura

Deportivo Recoleta conceded 0.8 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Division Profesional - Clausura

Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

Trend · Division Profesional - Clausura

Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 9.

Deportivo Recoleta vs Libertad Asuncion: prediction & preview

Paraguay · Division Profesional - Clausura · Mon, 5 Oct 2026

Deportivo Recoleta meet Libertad Asuncion in the Paraguay, Division Profesional - Clausura on 5 October 2026 at 14:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Libertad Asuncion at 1.65. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 54.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.67, about 56.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Deportivo Recoleta vs Libertad Asuncion FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Deportivo Recoleta vs Libertad Asuncion match?

Kickoff is 14:00 on 5 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Deportivo Recoleta vs Libertad Asuncion?

Libertad Asuncion is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.65. The margin-adjusted share is about 54.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.67 and under 2.5 is 2.15.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.