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Derby vs West Brom Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · ChampionshipWed, 9 Sept 2026

Derby

23rd in table · 7 pts

LWLDL

Wed, 9 Sept 202619:45

0 : 1

Full time

West Brom

4th in table · 24 pts

WDLLW

Pre-match win probability

26.8%Derby28.5%Draw44.7%West Brom

Our prediction

X2 · Derby

Derby vs West Brom listed tip from the board.

Odds1.28
Confidence44.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Derby 26.8%
  • Draw 28.5%
  • West Brom 44.7%

Season statistics

Championship · highlighted side is stronger

DerbyWest Brom
Wins
17
Played
1313

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Derby0W 0D 0L in last 0
    West Brom0W 0D 0L in last 0
      H2H
      Head to headDerby 5W · 3D · West Brom 1W · 1.8 goals a game
      • 23 JanDerby1 – 1West Brom
      • 13 SeptWest Brom0 – 1Derby
      • 12 AugWest Brom1 – 1Derby
      • 21 AprWest Brom1 – 3Derby
      • 26 DecDerby2 – 1West Brom
      • 23 AugDerby1 – 0West Brom
      • 27 DecDerby1 – 0West Brom
      • 14 SeptWest Brom0 – 0Derby
      • 8 JulWest Brom2 – 0Derby

      Betting markets

      Bookmaker prices with margin removed

      Goal lineOverUnder
      0.5 goals22.2% · 1.072.6% · 9
      1.5 goals17.9% · 1.337% · 3.4
      2.5 goals11.9% · 213.2% · 1.8
      3.5 goals6.8% · 3.518.3% · 1.3

      Both teams to score

      Yes51.5%
      No48.5%

      Double chance

      1X42.5%
      X257.5%

      Match result

      Derby3.5
      Draw3.3
      West Brom2.1

      Both teams to score

      Yes51.5% · 1.8
      No48.5% · 1.91

      1X

      Chance42.5%
      Odds1.73

      X2

      Chance57.5%
      Odds1.28

      Derby

      Chance26.8%
      Odds3.5

      Draw

      Chance28.5%
      Odds3.3

      West Brom

      Chance44.7%
      Odds2.1

      No half-time prices stored.

      No corner prices stored.

      Model comparison

      Our pick: X2 at 1.28

      DerbyWest Brom
      Recent form50%50%
      Attack50%50%
      Defence50%50%
      Goals model50%50%
      Head-to-head72%28%
      Overall37%63%

      Derby vs West Brom: prediction & preview

      England · Championship · Wed, 9 Sept 2026

      Derby meet West Brom in the England, Championship on 9 September 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

      On the 1X2 market the shortest price is West Brom at 2.1. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 44.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

      The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

      Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

      Derby vs West Brom FAQs

      4 questions

      What time is the Derby vs West Brom match?

      Kickoff is 19:45 on 9 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

      What are the safest picks for Derby vs West Brom?

      West Brom is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.1. The margin-adjusted share is about 44.7%.

      What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

      Over 2.5 is 2 and under 2.5 is 1.8.

      Do both teams score on this match?

      Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.