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Drogheda United vs Derry City Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Ireland · Premier DivisionFri, 16 Oct 2026

Drogheda United

9th in table · 37 pts

WLWLL

Fri, 16 Oct 202619:45

2 : 0

Full time

Derry City

5th in table · 47 pts

WWDWW

Pre-match win probability

28.7%Drogheda United29.6%Draw41.7%Derry City

Our prediction

2 · Drogheda United

Drogheda United vs Derry City listed tip from the board.

Odds2.2
Confidence41.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Drogheda United 28.7%
  • Draw 29.6%
  • Derry City 41.7%

Season statistics

Premier Division · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Drogheda UnitedDerry City
Goals scored (avg)
1.2–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.8–
Wins
911
Played
3535

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Drogheda United3W 0D 6L in last 9
  • 23 OctWaterford3 – 1Drogheda UnitedL
  • 8 OctShamrock Rovers3 – 1Drogheda UnitedL
  • 1 OctTrabzonspor0 – 1Drogheda UnitedW
  • 18 SeptBohemians2 – 1Drogheda UnitedL
  • 14 SeptShelbourne1 – 2Drogheda UnitedW
  • 11 SeptDrogheda United2 – 0Sligo RoversW
  • 4 SeptDrogheda United1 – 2Galway UnitedL
  • 28 AugDrogheda United2 – 3DundalkL
  • 21 AugDrogheda United0 – 2St Patrick's Athl.L
Derry City0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headDrogheda United 3W · 4D · Derry City 2W · 2.4 goals a game
    • 26 JunDerry City2 – 0Drogheda United
    • 8 MayDrogheda United1 – 0Derry City
    • 20 MarDerry City2 – 2Drogheda United
    • 26 SeptDrogheda United1 – 1Derry City
    • 16 AugDerry City1 – 1Drogheda United
    • 27 JunDerry City3 – 0Drogheda United
    • 16 MayDrogheda United1 – 1Derry City
    • 11 AprDerry City1 – 3Drogheda United
    • 10 NovDrogheda United2 – 0Derry City

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals22.3% · 1.062.4% · 10
    1.5 goals18.2% · 1.36.9% · 3.4
    2.5 goals11.5% · 2.0513.5% · 1.75
    3.5 goals6.7% · 3.518.5% · 1.28

    Both teams to score

    Yes52%
    No48%

    Double chance

    1X45.9%
    X254.1%

    Match result

    Drogheda United3.2
    Draw3.1
    Derry City2.2

    Both teams to score

    Yes52% · 1.8
    No48% · 1.95

    1X

    Chance45.9%
    Odds1.57

    X2

    Chance54.1%
    Odds1.33

    Drogheda United

    Chance28.7%
    Odds3.2

    Draw

    Chance29.6%
    Odds3.1

    Derry City

    Chance41.7%
    Odds2.2

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: 2 at 2.2

    Drogheda UnitedDerry City
    Recent form90%10%
    Attack55%45%
    Defence55%45%
    Goals model55%45%
    Head-to-head56%44%
    Overall41%59%

    Trends

    Trend · Premier Division

    Drogheda United scored 1.2 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Premier Division

    Drogheda United conceded 1.8 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Premier Division

    Failed to score in 1 of those 9.

    Trend · Premier Division

    Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

    Drogheda United vs Derry City: prediction & preview

    Ireland · Premier Division · Fri, 16 Oct 2026

    Drogheda United meet Derry City in the Ireland, Premier Division on 16 October 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Derry City at 2.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 41.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.75, about 53.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Drogheda United vs Derry City FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is the Drogheda United vs Derry City match?

    Kickoff is 19:45 on 16 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    What are the safest picks for Drogheda United vs Derry City?

    Derry City is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 41.7%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 2.05 and under 2.5 is 1.75.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.