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Elva vs Maardu Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Estonia · Esiliiga AThu, 20 Aug 2026

Elva

4th in table · 52 pts

WLDDD

Thu, 20 Aug 202610:30

1 : 0

Full time

Maardu

6th in table · 45 pts

WW

Pre-match win probability

50.2%Elva21.5%Draw28.3%Maardu

Our prediction

X · Elva

Elva vs Maardu listed tip from the board.

Odds4.2
Confidence50.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Elva 50.2%
  • Draw 21.5%
  • Maardu 28.3%

Season statistics

Esiliiga A · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

ElvaMaardu
Goals scored (avg)
1.13
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.81.5
Wins
1412
Played
3532

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Elva3W 4D 2L in last 9
  • 1 NovElva0 – 0Tallinna KalevD
  • 25 OctElva3 – 3FCI Levadia IID
  • 18 OctNõmme Kalju II0 – 0ElvaD
  • 9 OctTartu Welco4 – 0ElvaL
  • 24 SeptElva3 – 2Tallinna KalevW
  • 19 SeptElva1 – 1FC TallinnD
  • 13 SeptFlora II1 – 2ElvaW
  • 10 SeptViimsi5 – 0ElvaL
  • 6 SeptElva1 – 0Nõmme Kalju IIW
Maardu2W 0D 0L in last 2
  • 6 SeptMaardu2 – 1Nõmme United IIW
  • 29 AugMaardu4 – 2FCI Levadia IIW
H2H
Head to headElva 2W · 0D · Maardu 2W · 3.5 goals a game
  • 11 JunElva4 – 3Maardu
  • 12 MarMaardu0 – 3Elva
  • 14 OctMaardu2 – 1Elva
  • 25 AugElva0 – 1Maardu

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals66.3% · 1.433.7% · 2.75

Double chance

1X54.4%
X245.6%

Match result

Elva1.8
Draw4.2
Maardu3.2

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance54.4%
Odds1.4

X2

Chance45.6%
Odds1.67

Elva

Chance50.2%
Odds1.8

Draw

Chance21.5%
Odds4.2

Maardu

Chance28.3%
Odds3.2

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X at 4.2

ElvaMaardu
Recent form68%32%
Attack27%73%
Defence44%56%
Goals model27%73%
Head-to-head50%50%
Overall64%36%

Trends

Trend · Esiliiga A

Elva scored 1.1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Esiliiga A

Elva conceded 1.8 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Esiliiga A

Failed to score in 4 of those 9.

Trend · Esiliiga A

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

Elva vs Maardu: prediction & preview

Estonia · Esiliiga A · Thu, 20 Aug 2026

Elva meet Maardu in the Estonia, Esiliiga A on 20 August 2026 at 10:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Elva at 1.8. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 50.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.4, about 66.3% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Elva vs Maardu FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Elva vs Maardu match?

Kickoff is 10:30 on 20 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Elva vs Maardu?

Elva is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.8. The margin-adjusted share is about 50.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.4 and under 2.5 is 2.75.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.