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England vs Croatia Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · UEFA Nations LeagueThu, 12 Nov 2026

England

2nd in table · 9 pts

WLWWW

Thu, 12 Nov 202620:45

2 : 1

Full time

Croatia

3rd in table · 3 pts

LWLLL

Pre-match win probability

74.4%England16.5%Draw9.1%Croatia

Our prediction

1 · England

England vs Croatia listed tip from the board.

Odds1.22
Confidence82%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • England 74.4%
  • Draw 16.5%
  • Croatia 9.1%

Season statistics

UEFA Nations League · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

EnglandCroatia
Goals scored (avg)
31.2
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.32.4
Wins
31
Played
44

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

England8W 0D 2L in last 10
  • 6 OctEngland3 – 0CzechiaW
  • 3 OctCroatia0 – 7EnglandW
  • 29 SeptCzechia0 – 2EnglandW
  • 26 SeptEngland2 – 3SpainL
  • 18 JulFrance4 – 6EnglandW
  • 15 JulEngland1 – 2ArgentinaL
  • 11 JulNorway1 – 2EnglandW
  • 6 JulMexico2 – 3EnglandW
  • 1 JulEngland2 – 1Congo DRW
  • 27 JunPanama0 – 2EnglandW
Croatia4W 0D 6L in last 10
  • 6 OctCroatia1 – 2SpainL
  • 3 OctCroatia0 – 7EnglandL
  • 29 SeptSpain4 – 1CroatiaL
  • 26 SeptCzechia1 – 2CroatiaW
  • 3 JulPortugal2 – 1CroatiaL
  • 27 JunCroatia2 – 1GhanaW
  • 24 JunPanama0 – 1CroatiaW
  • 17 JunEngland4 – 2CroatiaL
  • 7 JunCroatia2 – 1SloveniaW
  • 2 JunCroatia0 – 2BelgiumL
H2H
Head to headEngland 4W · 1D · Croatia 1W · 3.3 goals a game
  • 3 OctCroatia0 – 7England
  • 17 JunEngland4 – 2Croatia
  • 13 JunEngland1 – 0Croatia
  • 18 NovEngland2 – 1Croatia
  • 12 OctCroatia0 – 0England
  • 11 JulCroatia2 – 1England

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.4% · 1.011.1% · 21
1.5 goals20.7% · 1.144.3% · 5.5
2.5 goals16% · 1.489.1% · 2.6
3.5 goals10.7% · 2.214.6% · 1.62

Both teams to score

Yes48.9%
No51.1%

Double chance

1X45.5%
1241.9%
X212.6%

Match result

England1.22
Draw5.5
Croatia10

Both teams to score

Yes48.9% · 1.91
No51.1% · 1.83

1X

Chance45.5%
Odds1.05

12

Chance41.9%
Odds1.14

X2

Chance12.6%
Odds3.8

England

Chance74.4%
Odds1.22

Draw

Chance16.5%
Odds5.5

Croatia

Chance9.1%
Odds10

First half result

England57.6% · 1.57
Draw32.3% · 2.8
Croatia10.1% · 9

Half goals

1st over 0.5100% · 1.25

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1 at 1.22

EnglandCroatia
Recent form67%33%
Attack71%29%
Defence74%26%
Goals model71%29%
Head-to-head75%25%
Overall89%11%

Trends

Trend · UEFA Nations League

England scored 3 per game in the last 10.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

England conceded 1.3 per game in the last 10.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 10.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Over 2.5 goals in 8 of those 10.

England vs Croatia: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Nations League · Thu, 12 Nov 2026

England meet Croatia in the World, UEFA Nations League on 12 November 2026 at 20:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is England at 1.22. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 74.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.48, about 63.7% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.83. FootyStats lists an over 2.5 potential of 74% for this fixture. The both-teams-to-score potential is 68%.

England are listed at 50 points per game. Croatia are listed at 0 points per game. Points per game is a season rate. It does not include late team news, so treat it as context next to the prices.

England vs Croatia FAQs

4 questions

What time is the England vs Croatia match?

Kickoff is 20:45 on 12 November 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for England vs Croatia?

England is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.22. The margin-adjusted share is about 74.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.48 and under 2.5 is 2.6.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.