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Estoril vs Casa Pia Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Primeira LigaSun, 20 Sept 2026

Estoril

LDLLL

Sun, 20 Sept 202618:00

1 : 2

Full time

Casa Pia

LLWWL

Pre-match win probability

55.9%Estoril25%Draw19%Casa Pia

Our prediction

1X · Estoril

Estoril vs Casa Pia listed tip from the board.

Odds1.17
Confidence55.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Estoril 55.9%
  • Draw 25%
  • Casa Pia 19%

Season statistics

Primeira Liga · highlighted side is stronger

EstorilCasa Pia
Goals scored (avg)
–0.4
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
–1.9

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Estoril0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Casa Pia2W 1D 6L in last 9
    • 30 OctCasa Pia0 – 2Sporting CPL
    • 24 OctEstrela0 – 2Casa PiaW
    • 18 OctAlpendorada0 – 1Casa PiaW
    • 10 OctCasa Pia0 – 1Santa ClaraL
    • 12 SeptCasa Pia1 – 4FC PortoL
    • 6 SeptVitória SC0 – 0Casa PiaD
    • 30 AugCasa Pia0 – 1MoreirenseL
    • 24 AugGIL Vicente2 – 0Casa PiaL
    • 17 AugCasa Pia0 – 7BenficaL
    H2H
    Head to headEstoril 3W · 5D · Casa Pia 1W · 2.4 goals a game
    • 7 MarEstoril0 – 0Casa Pia
    • 3 OctCasa Pia2 – 2Estoril
    • 29 AprCasa Pia1 – 3Estoril
    • 15 DecEstoril0 – 2Casa Pia
    • 8 AprCasa Pia0 – 0Estoril
    • 10 NovEstoril4 – 0Casa Pia
    • 21 MayCasa Pia2 – 2Estoril
    • 16 JanEstoril2 – 0Casa Pia
    • 23 AprEstoril1 – 1Casa Pia

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals22.7% · 1.041.8% · 13
    1.5 goals19.3% · 1.225.9% · 4
    2.5 goals13.6% · 1.7311.3% · 2.08
    3.5 goals8.6% · 2.7516.8% · 1.4

    Both teams to score

    Yes53.3%
    No46.7%

    Double chance

    1X64.2%
    X235.8%

    Match result

    Estoril1.7
    Draw3.8
    Casa Pia5

    Both teams to score

    Yes53.3% · 1.75
    No46.7% · 2

    1X

    Chance64.2%
    Odds1.17

    X2

    Chance35.8%
    Odds2.1

    Estoril

    Chance55.9%
    Odds1.7

    Draw

    Chance25%
    Odds3.8

    Casa Pia

    Chance19%
    Odds5

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: 1X at 1.17

    EstorilCasa Pia
    Recent form13%87%
    Attack71%29%
    Defence48%52%
    Goals model71%29%
    Head-to-head61%39%
    Overall75%25%

    Trends

    Trend · Primeira Liga

    Casa Pia scored 0.4 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Primeira Liga

    Casa Pia conceded 1.9 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Primeira Liga

    Failed to score in 6 of those 9.

    Trend · Primeira Liga

    Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

    Estoril vs Casa Pia: prediction & preview

    Portugal · Primeira Liga · Sun, 20 Sept 2026

    Estoril meet Casa Pia in the Portugal, Primeira Liga on 20 September 2026 at 18:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Estoril at 1.7. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 55.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.73, about 54.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.75.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Estoril vs Casa Pia FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is the Estoril vs Casa Pia match?

    Kickoff is 18:00 on 20 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    What are the safest picks for Estoril vs Casa Pia?

    Estoril is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.7. The margin-adjusted share is about 55.9%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.73 and under 2.5 is 2.08.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.75. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.