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Estrela vs SC Braga Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Primeira LigaThu, 10 Sept 2026

Estrela

12th in table · 10 pts

LLWLL

Thu, 10 Sept 202620:15

2 : 1

Full time

SC Braga

10th in table · 11 pts

LLWLD

Pre-match win probability

14.5%Estrela23.6%Draw61.8%SC Braga

Our prediction

X2 · Estrela

Estrela vs SC Braga listed tip from the board.

Odds1.12
Confidence61.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Estrela 14.5%
  • Draw 23.6%
  • SC Braga 61.8%

Season statistics

Primeira Liga · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

EstrelaSC Braga
Goals scored (avg)
1.41
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.91.3
Wins
23
Played
109

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Estrela2W 3D 4L in last 9
  • 31 OctMoreirense2 – 1EstrelaL
  • 24 OctEstrela0 – 2Casa PiaL
  • 17 OctFazendense1 – 2EstrelaW
  • 11 OctArouca1 – 0EstrelaL
  • 20 SeptEstrela0 – 2Academico ViseuL
  • 14 SeptRio Ave3 – 3EstrelaD
  • 5 SeptEstrela2 – 2FamalicaoD
  • 30 AugNacional2 – 3EstrelaW
  • 15 AugAlverca2 – 2EstrelaD
SC Braga3W 2D 4L in last 9
  • 29 OctSC Braga2 – 2FamalicaoD
  • 25 OctNacional1 – 0SC BragaL
  • 22 OctSC Braga2 – 0GentW
  • 19 OctSC Braga1 – 2GIL VicenteL
  • 15 OctFC Copenhagen3 – 0SC BragaL
  • 9 OctSC Braga1 – 3Sporting CPL
  • 20 SeptSanta Clara0 – 0SC BragaD
  • 14 SeptSC Braga1 – 0EstorilW
  • 5 SeptAlverca1 – 2SC BragaW
H2H
Head to headEstrela 0W · 4D · SC Braga 3W · 3.1 goals a game
  • 16 MaySC Braga2 – 2Estrela
  • 3 JanEstrela3 – 3SC Braga
  • 19 JanEstrela0 – 1SC Braga
  • 11 AugSC Braga1 – 1Estrela
  • 2 MarSC Braga3 – 0Estrela
  • 28 SeptEstrela2 – 4SC Braga
  • 13 JulEstrela0 – 0SC Braga

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.062.4% · 10
1.5 goals18.2% · 1.37% · 3.4
2.5 goals11.8% · 213.1% · 1.8
3.5 goals6.8% · 3.518.5% · 1.28

Both teams to score

Yes45.3%
No54.7%

Double chance

1X32.7%
X267.3%

Match result

Estrela6.5
Draw4
SC Braga1.53

Both teams to score

Yes45.3% · 2.05
No54.7% · 1.7

1X

Chance32.7%
Odds2.3

X2

Chance67.3%
Odds1.12

Estrela

Chance14.5%
Odds6.5

Draw

Chance23.6%
Odds4

SC Braga

Chance61.8%
Odds1.53

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X2 at 1.12

EstrelaSC Braga
Recent form45%55%
Attack58%42%
Defence39%61%
Goals model58%42%
Head-to-head29%71%
Overall19%81%

Trends

Trend · Primeira Liga

Estrela scored 1.4 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Primeira Liga

Estrela conceded 1.9 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Primeira Liga

Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

Trend · Primeira Liga

Over 2.5 goals in 6 of those 9.

Estrela vs SC Braga: prediction & preview

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Thu, 10 Sept 2026

Estrela meet SC Braga in the Portugal, Primeira Liga on 10 September 2026 at 20:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is SC Braga at 1.53. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 61.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.7.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Estrela vs SC Braga FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Estrela vs SC Braga match?

Kickoff is 20:15 on 10 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Estrela vs SC Braga?

SC Braga is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.53. The margin-adjusted share is about 61.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2 and under 2.5 is 1.8.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.05. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.