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Everton vs Chelsea Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · Premier LeagueSat, 17 Oct 2026

Everton

14th in table · 10 pts

WWDLW

Sat, 17 Oct 202612:30

0 : 2

Full time

Chelsea

4th in table · 16 pts

LWLDW

Pre-match win probability

30.7%Everton25%Draw44.3%Chelsea

Our prediction

X2 · Everton

Everton vs Chelsea listed tip from the board.

Odds1.36
Confidence44.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Everton 30.7%
  • Draw 25%
  • Chelsea 44.3%

Season statistics

Premier League · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

EvertonChelsea
Goals scored (avg)
1.62.3
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.91.9
Wins
25
Played
89

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Everton4W 4D 1L in last 9
  • 29 OctEverton3 – 1NewcastleW
  • 24 OctArsenal2 – 0EvertonL
  • 11 OctHull City2 – 2EvertonD
  • 19 SeptEverton1 – 0IpswichW
  • 16 SeptEverton1 – 0WolvesW
  • 12 SeptTottenham0 – 0EvertonD
  • 6 SeptEverton2 – 2Manchester UnitedD
  • 29 AugBournemouth1 – 1EvertonD
  • 26 AugPreston0 – 4EvertonW
Chelsea4W 2D 3L in last 9
  • 31 OctChelsea2 – 0Manchester UnitedW
  • 28 OctLiverpool1 – 1ChelseaD
  • 24 OctChelsea0 – 2TottenhamL
  • 10 OctChelsea5 – 1BournemouthW
  • 18 SeptBrentford3 – 0ChelseaL
  • 12 SeptChelsea2 – 2Hull CityD
  • 9 SeptChelsea6 – 3LeedsW
  • 6 SeptArsenal2 – 1ChelseaL
  • 30 AugChelsea4 – 3BrightonW
H2H
Head to headEverton 3W · 2D · Chelsea 4W · 2.2 goals a game
  • 21 MarEverton3 – 0Chelsea
  • 13 DecChelsea2 – 0Everton
  • 26 AprChelsea1 – 0Everton
  • 22 DecEverton0 – 0Chelsea
  • 15 AprChelsea6 – 0Everton
  • 10 DecEverton2 – 0Chelsea
  • 18 MarChelsea2 – 2Everton
  • 6 AugEverton0 – 1Chelsea
  • 1 MayEverton1 – 0Chelsea

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.1% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals19.8% · 1.25.3% · 4.5
2.5 goals14.7% · 1.6210.4% · 2.3
3.5 goals9.5% · 2.515.6% · 1.53

Both teams to score

Yes60.9%
No39.1%

Double chance

1X44.9%
X255.1%

Match result

Everton3.1
Draw3.8
Chelsea2.15

Both teams to score

Yes60.9% · 1.53
No39.1% · 2.38

1X

Chance44.9%
Odds1.67

X2

Chance55.1%
Odds1.36

Everton

Chance30.7%
Odds3.1

Draw

Chance25%
Odds3.8

Chelsea

Chance44.3%
Odds2.15

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X2 at 1.36

EvertonChelsea
Recent form53%47%
Attack41%59%
Defence66%34%
Goals model41%59%
Head-to-head44%56%
Overall41%59%

Trends

Trend · Premier League

Everton scored 1.6 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Premier League

Everton conceded 0.9 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Premier League

Failed to score in 2 of those 9.

Trend · Premier League

Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 9.

Everton vs Chelsea: prediction & preview

England · Premier League · Sat, 17 Oct 2026

Everton meet Chelsea in the England, Premier League on 17 October 2026 at 12:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Chelsea at 2.15. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 44.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.62, about 58.7% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.53.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Everton vs Chelsea FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Everton vs Chelsea match?

Kickoff is 12:30 on 17 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Everton vs Chelsea?

Chelsea is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.15. The margin-adjusted share is about 44.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.62 and under 2.5 is 2.3.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.53. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.