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Excelsior vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Netherlands · EredivisieSat, 15 Aug 2026

Excelsior

15th in table · 11 pts

Sat, 15 Aug 202619:00

1 : 2

Full time

PSV Eindhoven

3rd in table · 23 pts

LLWDW

Pre-match win probability

15.3%Excelsior20.1%Draw64.6%PSV Eindhoven

Our prediction

2 · Excelsior

Excelsior vs PSV Eindhoven listed tip from the board.

Odds1.48
Confidence64.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Excelsior 15.3%
  • Draw 20.1%
  • PSV Eindhoven 64.6%

Season statistics

Eredivisie · highlighted side is stronger

ExcelsiorPSV Eindhoven
Goals scored (avg)
–2.2
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
–1
Wins
37
Played
1111

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Excelsior0W 0D 0L in last 0
    PSV Eindhoven5W 2D 3L in last 10
    • 31 OctPSV Eindhoven7 – 0Willem IIW
    • 25 OctPSV Eindhoven1 – 1FeyenoordD
    • 20 OctFC Porto0 – 1PSV EindhovenW
    • 17 OctADO Den Haag2 – 1PSV EindhovenL
    • 13 OctRB Leipzig1 – 0PSV EindhovenL
    • 9 OctPSV Eindhoven2 – 0HeerenveenW
    • 20 SeptTwente3 – 2PSV EindhovenL
    • 13 SeptPSV Eindhoven4 – 1Sparta RotterdamW
    • 10 SeptPSV Eindhoven1 – 1Shakhtar DonetskD
    • 5 SeptAjax1 – 3PSV EindhovenW
    H2H
    Head to headExcelsior 0W · 0D · PSV Eindhoven 9W · 4.8 goals a game
    • 10 JanPSV Eindhoven5 – 1Excelsior
    • 27 SeptExcelsior1 – 2PSV Eindhoven
    • 14 JanPSV Eindhoven5 – 4Excelsior
    • 2 AprExcelsior0 – 2PSV Eindhoven
    • 13 JanPSV Eindhoven3 – 1Excelsior
    • 8 AprPSV Eindhoven4 – 0Excelsior
    • 28 AugExcelsior1 – 6PSV Eindhoven
    • 2 MarExcelsior0 – 2PSV Eindhoven
    • 7 DecPSV Eindhoven6 – 0Excelsior

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals23.4% · 1.011% · 23
    1.5 goals21.5% · 1.13.4% · 7
    2.5 goals17.4% · 1.367.6% · 3.1
    3.5 goals12.9% · 1.8312.9% · 1.83

    Both teams to score

    Yes62.5%
    No37.5%

    Double chance

    1X29.9%
    X270.1%

    Match result

    Excelsior6.25
    Draw4.75
    PSV Eindhoven1.48

    Both teams to score

    Yes62.5% · 1.5
    No37.5% · 2.5

    1X

    Chance29.9%
    Odds2.62

    X2

    Chance70.1%
    Odds1.12

    Excelsior

    Chance15.3%
    Odds6.25

    Draw

    Chance20.1%
    Odds4.75

    PSV Eindhoven

    Chance64.6%
    Odds1.48

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: 2 at 1.48

    ExcelsiorPSV Eindhoven
    Recent form6%94%
    Attack31%69%
    Defence33%67%
    Goals model31%69%
    Head-to-head0%100%
    Overall19%81%

    Trends

    Trend · Eredivisie

    PSV Eindhoven scored 2.2 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Eredivisie

    PSV Eindhoven conceded 1 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Eredivisie

    Failed to score in 1 of those 10.

    Trend · Eredivisie

    Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 10.

    Excelsior vs PSV Eindhoven: prediction & preview

    Netherlands · Eredivisie · Sat, 15 Aug 2026

    Excelsior meet PSV Eindhoven in the Netherlands, Eredivisie on 15 August 2026 at 19:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is PSV Eindhoven at 1.48. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 64.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.36, about 69.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.5.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Excelsior vs PSV Eindhoven FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is the Excelsior vs PSV Eindhoven match?

    Kickoff is 19:00 on 15 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    What are the safest picks for Excelsior vs PSV Eindhoven?

    PSV Eindhoven is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.48. The margin-adjusted share is about 64.6%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.36 and under 2.5 is 3.1.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.5. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.