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Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Netherlands · EredivisieSat, 29 Aug 2026

Excelsior

LLLWL

Sat, 29 Aug 202615:30

2 : 1

Full time

Sparta Rotterdam

DWLDW

Pre-match win probability

45.3%Excelsior25%Draw29.7%Sparta Rotterdam

Our prediction

X2 · Excelsior

Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam listed tip from the board.

Odds1.67
Confidence45.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Excelsior 45.3%
  • Draw 25%
  • Sparta Rotterdam 29.7%

Season statistics

Eredivisie · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

ExcelsiorSparta Rotterdam
Goals scored (avg)
1.32
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
2.82.7

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Excelsior2W 2D 5L in last 9
  • 1 NovExcelsior0 – 9TwenteL
  • 28 OctMVV0 – 3ExcelsiorW
  • 25 OctFortuna Sittard1 – 0ExcelsiorL
  • 16 OctHeerenveen4 – 0ExcelsiorL
  • 11 OctExcelsior1 – 5GroningenL
  • 19 SeptAjax2 – 2ExcelsiorD
  • 13 SeptExcelsior1 – 2UtrechtL
  • 8 SeptNEC Nijmegen2 – 2ExcelsiorD
  • 5 SeptWillem II0 – 3ExcelsiorW
Sparta Rotterdam2W 4D 3L in last 9
  • 1 NovGroningen2 – 3Sparta RotterdamW
  • 28 OctSparta Rotterdam2 – 2Fortuna SittardD
  • 25 OctSparta Rotterdam1 – 2AjaxL
  • 17 OctSparta Rotterdam3 – 2Willem IIW
  • 10 OctGO Ahead Eagles3 – 3Sparta RotterdamD
  • 19 SeptSparta Rotterdam0 – 4HeerenveenL
  • 13 SeptPSV Eindhoven4 – 1Sparta RotterdamL
  • 4 SeptSparta Rotterdam2 – 2PEC ZwolleD
  • 22 AugSparta Rotterdam3 – 3UtrechtD
H2H
Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals20% · 1.185.2% · 4.5
2.5 goals14.6% · 1.6210.5% · 2.25
3.5 goals9.4% · 2.515.7% · 1.5

Both teams to score

Yes62.5%
No37.5%

Double chance

1X55.1%
X244.9%

Match result

Excelsior2.1
Draw3.8
Sparta Rotterdam3.2

Both teams to score

Yes62.5% · 1.5
No37.5% · 2.5

1X

Chance55.1%
Odds1.36

X2

Chance44.9%
Odds1.67

Excelsior

Chance45.3%
Odds2.1

Draw

Chance25%
Odds3.8

Sparta Rotterdam

Chance29.7%
Odds3.2

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X2 at 1.67

ExcelsiorSparta Rotterdam
Recent form44%56%
Attack39%61%
Defence40%60%
Goals model39%61%
Overall60%40%

Trends

Trend · Eredivisie

Excelsior scored 1.3 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Eredivisie

Excelsior conceded 2.8 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Eredivisie

Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

Trend · Eredivisie

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam: prediction & preview

Netherlands · Eredivisie · Sat, 29 Aug 2026

Excelsior meet Sparta Rotterdam in the Netherlands, Eredivisie on 29 August 2026 at 15:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Excelsior at 2.1. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 45.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.62, about 58.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.5.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam match?

Kickoff is 15:30 on 29 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Excelsior is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.1. The margin-adjusted share is about 45.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.62 and under 2.5 is 2.25.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.5. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.