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Farense vs Chaves Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Segunda LigaSun, 4 Oct 2026

Farense

DWWWL

Sun, 4 Oct 202611:00

4 : 0

Full time

Chaves

LWWLD

Pre-match win probability

40.5%Farense29.7%Draw29.7%Chaves

Our prediction

1X · Farense

Farense vs Chaves listed tip from the board.

Odds1.33
Confidence40.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Farense 40.5%
  • Draw 29.7%
  • Chaves 29.7%

Season statistics

Segunda Liga · 8 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

FarenseChaves
Goals scored (avg)
1.5–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.1–

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Farense4W 2D 2L in last 8
  • 24 OctFarense1 – 4PenafielL
  • 17 OctFarense3 – 0AD Marco 09W
  • 11 OctFarense2 – 1FeirenseW
  • 20 SeptSacavenense0 – 1FarenseW
  • 13 SeptAVS0 – 0FarenseD
  • 30 AugSporting CP B2 – 1FarenseL
  • 24 AugFarense1 – 1Felgueiras 1932D
  • 16 AugFC Porto B1 – 3FarenseW
Chaves0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals22.6% · 1.052.2% · 11
    1.5 goals18.5% · 1.286.8% · 3.5
    2.5 goals12.1% · 1.9512.8% · 1.85
    3.5 goals7.3% · 3.2517.8% · 1.33

    Both teams to score

    Yes53.6%
    No46.4%

    Double chance

    1X54.9%
    X245.1%

    Match result

    Farense2.2
    Draw3
    Chaves3

    Both teams to score

    Yes53.6% · 1.73
    No46.4% · 2

    1X

    Chance54.9%
    Odds1.33

    X2

    Chance45.1%
    Odds1.62

    Farense

    Chance40.5%
    Odds2.2

    Draw

    Chance29.7%
    Odds3

    Chaves

    Chance29.7%
    Odds3

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: 1X at 1.33

    FarenseChaves
    Recent form93%7%
    Attack60%40%
    Defence66%34%
    Goals model60%40%
    Overall58%42%

    Trends

    Trend · Segunda Liga

    Farense scored 1.5 per game in the last 8.

    Trend · Segunda Liga

    Farense conceded 1.1 per game in the last 8.

    Trend · Segunda Liga

    Failed to score in 1 of those 8.

    Trend · Segunda Liga

    Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 8.

    Farense vs Chaves: prediction & preview

    Portugal · Segunda Liga · Sun, 4 Oct 2026

    Farense meet Chaves in the Portugal, Segunda Liga on 4 October 2026 at 11:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–0.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Farense at 2.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 40.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.73.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Farense vs Chaves FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is the Farense vs Chaves match?

    Kickoff is 11:00 on 4 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    What are the safest picks for Farense vs Chaves?

    Farense is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 40.5%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.95 and under 2.5 is 1.85.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.73. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.