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FBC Melgar vs Deportivo Garcilaso Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

FBC Melgar

3rd in table · 54 pts

WDDWD

Sun, 18 Oct 202600:00

4 : 2

Full time

Deportivo Garcilaso

4th in table · 51 pts

LWLWL

Pre-match win probability

67.5%FBC Melgar19.3%Draw13.1%Deportivo Garcilaso

Our prediction

X2 · FBC Melgar

FBC Melgar vs Deportivo Garcilaso listed tip from the board.

Odds2.3
Confidence67.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • FBC Melgar 67.5%
  • Draw 19.3%
  • Deportivo Garcilaso 13.1%

Season statistics

Primera División · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

FBC MelgarDeportivo Garcilaso
Goals scored (avg)
1.62.1
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.81
Wins
1515
Played
3131

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

FBC Melgar4W 4D 1L in last 9
  • 30 OctFBC Melgar1 – 1Comerciantes UnidosD
  • 23 OctUTC Cajamarca1 – 2FBC MelgarW
  • 11 OctUniversitario2 – 2FBC MelgarD
  • 20 SeptFBC Melgar1 – 1Sport BoysD
  • 12 SeptCusco0 – 1FBC MelgarW
  • 7 SeptFBC Melgar3 – 0ADTW
  • 1 SeptAtletico Grau1 – 0FBC MelgarL
  • 23 AugFBC Melgar1 – 1Alianza LimaD
  • 15 AugClub Deportivo Los Chankas0 – 3FBC MelgarW
Deportivo Garcilaso5W 1D 3L in last 9
  • 28 OctAlianza Atletico3 – 2Deportivo GarcilasoL
  • 26 OctDeportivo Garcilaso4 – 1Club Deportivo Los ChankasW
  • 10 OctDeportivo Garcilaso0 – 1Sport HuancayoL
  • 20 SeptDeportivo Garcilaso4 – 0UniversitarioW
  • 13 SeptSport Boys1 – 0Deportivo GarcilasoL
  • 6 SeptDeportivo Garcilaso4 – 2Atletico GrauW
  • 30 AugAlianza Lima0 – 1Deportivo GarcilasoW
  • 23 AugDeportivo Garcilaso4 – 1CuscoW
  • 17 AugCienciano0 – 0Deportivo GarcilasoD
H2H
Head to headFBC Melgar 1W · 3D · Deportivo Garcilaso 3W · 3.1 goals a game
  • 28 AprDeportivo Garcilaso1 – 0FBC Melgar
  • 19 SeptDeportivo Garcilaso1 – 1FBC Melgar
  • 18 AprFBC Melgar1 – 2Deportivo Garcilaso
  • 3 NovFBC Melgar1 – 1Deportivo Garcilaso
  • 25 MayDeportivo Garcilaso1 – 3FBC Melgar
  • 2 JulDeportivo Garcilaso2 – 2FBC Melgar
  • 15 MayFBC Melgar2 – 4Deportivo Garcilaso

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.1% · 1.021.4% · 17
1.5 goals20% · 1.185.2% · 4.5
2.5 goals14.8% · 1.610.3% · 2.3
3.5 goals9.4% · 2.515.7% · 1.5

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X66.1%
X233.9%

Match result

FBC Melgar1.36
Draw4.75
Deportivo Garcilaso7

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.83
No50% · 1.83

1X

Chance66.1%
Odds1.18

X2

Chance33.9%
Odds2.3

FBC Melgar

Chance67.5%
Odds1.36

Draw

Chance19.3%
Odds4.75

Deportivo Garcilaso

Chance13.1%
Odds7

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X2 at 2.3

FBC MelgarDeportivo Garcilaso
Recent form50%50%
Attack43%57%
Defence52%48%
Goals model43%57%
Head-to-head36%64%
Overall84%16%

Trends

Trend · Primera División

FBC Melgar scored 1.6 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Primera División

FBC Melgar conceded 0.8 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Primera División

Failed to score in 1 of those 9.

Trend · Primera División

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

FBC Melgar vs Deportivo Garcilaso: prediction & preview

Peru · Primera División · Sun, 18 Oct 2026

FBC Melgar meet Deportivo Garcilaso in the Peru, Primera División on 18 October 2026 at 00:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is FBC Melgar at 1.36. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 67.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.6, about 59% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

FBC Melgar vs Deportivo Garcilaso FAQs

4 questions

What time is the FBC Melgar vs Deportivo Garcilaso match?

Kickoff is 00:00 on 18 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for FBC Melgar vs Deportivo Garcilaso?

FBC Melgar is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.36. The margin-adjusted share is about 67.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.6 and under 2.5 is 2.3.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.