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FC St. Pauli vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Germany · 2. BundesligaSun, 9 Aug 2026

FC St. Pauli

8th in table · 12 pts

DWDDL

Sun, 9 Aug 202612:30

1 : 1

Full time

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

9th in table · 12 pts

LLWLW

Pre-match win probability

50.7%FC St. Pauli24.7%Draw24.7%SpVgg Greuther Fürth

Our prediction

X · FC St. Pauli

FC St. Pauli vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth listed tip from the board.

Odds3.8
Confidence50.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • FC St. Pauli 50.7%
  • Draw 24.7%
  • SpVgg Greuther Fürth 24.7%

Season statistics

2. Bundesliga · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

FC St. PauliSpVgg Greuther Fürth
Goals scored (avg)
11.1
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.21.8
Wins
23
Played
1010

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

FC St. Pauli2W 5D 3L in last 10
  • 1 NovFC St. Pauli1 – 31. FC NürnbergL
  • 23 OctSV Darmstadt 980 – 0FC St. PauliD
  • 17 OctHannover 961 – 1FC St. PauliD
  • 11 OctFC St. Pauli2 – 0Karlsruher SCW
  • 3 OctFC St. Pauli1 – 1Borussia MönchengladbachD
  • 20 SeptEnergie Cottbus1 – 1FC St. PauliD
  • 12 SeptFC St. Pauli1 – 0VfL WolfsburgW
  • 4 SeptArminia Bielefeld2 – 2FC St. PauliD
  • 30 AugFC St. Pauli1 – 21. FC KaiserslauternL
  • 23 AugRot-Weiß Essen2 – 0FC St. PauliL
SpVgg Greuther Fürth3W 2D 5L in last 10
  • 1 NovSpVgg Greuther Fürth1 – 0Holstein KielW
  • 25 OctVfL Osnabrück3 – 0SpVgg Greuther FürthL
  • 17 OctSpVgg Greuther Fürth2 – 0Eintracht BraunschweigW
  • 11 OctHertha BSC2 – 1SpVgg Greuther FürthL
  • 1 OctVfB Stuttgart5 – 0SpVgg Greuther FürthL
  • 18 SeptSpVgg Greuther Fürth1 – 11. FC MagdeburgD
  • 12 SeptVfL Bochum1 – 1SpVgg Greuther FürthD
  • 6 SeptSpVgg Greuther Fürth0 – 11. FC HeidenheimL
  • 29 AugEnergie Cottbus3 – 4SpVgg Greuther FürthW
  • 23 AugSpVgg Greuther Fürth1 – 2VfL BochumL
H2H
Head to headFC St. Pauli 3W · 2D · SpVgg Greuther Fürth 4W · 3.2 goals a game
  • 19 JulSpVgg Greuther Fürth3 – 1FC St. Pauli
  • 3 FebFC St. Pauli3 – 2SpVgg Greuther Furth
  • 19 AugSpVgg Greuther Furth0 – 0FC St. Pauli
  • 11 MarFC St. Pauli2 – 1SpVgg Greuther Furth
  • 3 SeptSpVgg Greuther Furth2 – 2FC St. Pauli
  • 25 AprFC St. Pauli2 – 1SpVgg Greuther Furth
  • 3 JanSpVgg Greuther Furth2 – 1FC St. Pauli
  • 28 JanSpVgg Greuther Furth3 – 0FC St. Pauli
  • 2 AugFC St. Pauli1 – 3SpVgg Greuther Furth

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals20% · 1.185.2% · 4.5
2.5 goals14.6% · 1.6210.5% · 2.25
3.5 goals9.4% · 2.515.7% · 1.5

Both teams to score

Yes58.9%
No41.1%

Double chance

1X60.4%
X239.6%

Match result

FC St. Pauli1.85
Draw3.8
SpVgg Greuther Fürth3.8

Both teams to score

Yes58.9% · 1.57
No41.1% · 2.25

1X

Chance60.4%
Odds1.25

X2

Chance39.6%
Odds1.91

FC St. Pauli

Chance50.7%
Odds1.85

Draw

Chance24.7%
Odds3.8

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

Chance24.7%
Odds3.8

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X at 3.8

FC St. PauliSpVgg Greuther Fürth
Recent form50%50%
Attack48%52%
Defence60%40%
Goals model48%52%
Head-to-head44%56%
Overall67%33%

Trends

Trend · 2. Bundesliga

FC St. Pauli scored 1 per game in the last 10.

Trend · 2. Bundesliga

FC St. Pauli conceded 1.2 per game in the last 10.

Trend · 2. Bundesliga

Failed to score in 2 of those 10.

Trend · 2. Bundesliga

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 10.

FC St. Pauli vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: prediction & preview

Germany · 2. Bundesliga · Sun, 9 Aug 2026

FC St. Pauli meet SpVgg Greuther Fürth in the Germany, 2. Bundesliga on 9 August 2026 at 12:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is FC St. Pauli at 1.85. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 50.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.62, about 58.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.57.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

FC St. Pauli vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth FAQs

4 questions

What time is the FC St. Pauli vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth match?

Kickoff is 12:30 on 9 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for FC St. Pauli vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?

FC St. Pauli is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.85. The margin-adjusted share is about 50.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.62 and under 2.5 is 2.25.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.57. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.