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Fenerbahçe vs Sturm Graz Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · UEFA Champions LeagueWed, 5 Aug 2026

Fenerbahçe

LWDLL

Wed, 5 Aug 202619:00

2 : 0

Full time

Sturm Graz

WWDLD

Pre-match win probability

72.3%Fenerbahçe16.8%Draw10.9%Sturm Graz

Our prediction

Fenerbahçe

Fenerbahçe is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.28
Confidence72.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Fenerbahçe 72.3%
  • Draw 16.8%
  • Sturm Graz 10.9%

Season statistics

UEFA Champions League · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

FenerbahçeSturm Graz
Goals scored (avg)
2.11.7
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.31.4

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Fenerbahçe4W 3D 3L in last 10
  • 31 OctFenerbahçe1 – 2GöztepeL
  • 26 OctGalatasaray2 – 1FenerbahçeL
  • 20 OctFenerbahçe2 – 2Slavia PrahaD
  • 17 OctFenerbahçe3 – 0AlanyasporW
  • 14 OctAston Villa6 – 0FenerbahçeL
  • 10 OctRizespor0 – 3FenerbahçeW
  • 3 OctTuran0 – 2FenerbahçeW
  • 20 SeptFenerbahçe8 – 0EyüpsporW
  • 14 SeptGaziantep FK0 – 0FenerbahçeD
  • 10 SeptFenerbahçe1 – 1AS RomaD
Sturm Graz4W 3D 3L in last 10
  • 1 NovWolfsberger AC1 – 1Sturm GrazD
  • 29 OctAustria Lustenau3 – 2Sturm GrazL
  • 25 OctSturm Graz2 – 2RiedD
  • 22 OctSturm Graz1 – 0MarseilleW
  • 18 OctSturm Graz6 – 1Grazer AKW
  • 15 OctBournemouth3 – 0Sturm GrazL
  • 10 OctAustria Vienna0 – 2Sturm GrazW
  • 2 OctSturm Graz3 – 1Floridsdorfer ACW
  • 20 SeptRed Bull Salzburg3 – 0Sturm GrazL
  • 16 SeptSturm Graz0 – 0RennesD
H2H
Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.022.1% · 11
1.5 goals20.4% · 1.144.7% · 5
2.5 goals15.5% · 1.59.3% · 2.5
3.5 goals11.1% · 2.114% · 1.67

Both teams to score

Yes48.5%
No51.5%

Double chance

1X72%
X228%

Match result

Fenerbahçe1.28
Draw5.5
Sturm Graz8.5

Both teams to score

Yes48.5% · 1.91
No51.5% · 1.8

1X

Chance72%
Odds1.07

X2

Chance28%
Odds2.75

Fenerbahçe

Chance72.3%
Odds1.28

Draw

Chance16.8%
Odds5.5

Sturm Graz

Chance10.9%
Odds8.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Fenerbahçe at 1.28

FenerbahçeSturm Graz
Recent form50%50%
Attack55%45%
Defence52%48%
Goals model55%45%
Overall87%13%

Trends

Trend · UEFA Champions League

Fenerbahçe scored 2.1 per game in the last 10.

Trend · UEFA Champions League

Fenerbahçe conceded 1.3 per game in the last 10.

Trend · UEFA Champions League

Failed to score in 2 of those 10.

Trend · UEFA Champions League

Kept a clean sheet in 5 of those 10.

Fenerbahçe vs Sturm Graz: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Champions League · Wed, 5 Aug 2026

Fenerbahçe meet Sturm Graz in the World, UEFA Champions League on 5 August 2026 at 19:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Fenerbahçe at 1.28. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 72.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.5, about 62.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Fenerbahçe vs Sturm Graz FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Fenerbahçe vs Sturm Graz match?

Kickoff is 19:00 on 5 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Fenerbahçe vs Sturm Graz?

Fenerbahçe is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.28. The margin-adjusted share is about 72.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.5 and under 2.5 is 2.5.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.