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Finland vs Albania Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · UEFA Nations LeagueSat, 3 Oct 2026

Finland

DWLLD

Sat, 3 Oct 202614:00

2 : 1

Full time

Albania

LLWWW

Pre-match win probability

40.6%Finland31.1%Draw28.3%Albania

Our prediction

X · Finland

Finland vs Albania listed tip from the board.

Odds3
Confidence40.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Finland 40.6%
  • Draw 31.1%
  • Albania 28.3%

Season statistics

UEFA Nations League · highlighted side is stronger

FinlandAlbania
Goals scored (avg)
–1
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
–0.9

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Finland0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Albania4W 0D 5L in last 9
    • 6 OctAlbania2 – 1San MarinoW
    • 29 SeptSan Marino0 – 3AlbaniaW
    • 26 SeptAlbania2 – 0BelarusW
    • 6 JunAlbania0 – 1LuxembourgL
    • 3 JunAlbania0 – 1IsraelL
    • 31 MarUkraine1 – 0AlbaniaL
    • 26 MarPoland2 – 1AlbaniaL
    • 16 NovAlbania0 – 2EnglandL
    • 13 NovAndorra0 – 1AlbaniaW
    H2H
    Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals21% · 1.113.9% · 6
    1.5 goals15.2% · 1.539.8% · 2.38
    2.5 goals8.9% · 2.6216.2% · 1.44
    3.5 goals4.7% · 520.4% · 1.14

    Both teams to score

    Yes42.4%
    No57.6%

    Double chance

    1X54.1%
    X245.9%

    Match result

    Finland2.3
    Draw3
    Albania3.3

    Both teams to score

    Yes42.4% · 2.2
    No57.6% · 1.62

    1X

    Chance54.1%
    Odds1.33

    X2

    Chance45.9%
    Odds1.57

    Finland

    Chance40.6%
    Odds2.3

    Draw

    Chance31.1%
    Odds3

    Albania

    Chance28.3%
    Odds3.3

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: X at 3

    FinlandAlbania
    Recent form8%92%
    Attack50%50%
    Defence32%68%
    Goals model50%50%
    Overall59%41%

    Trends

    Trend · UEFA Nations League

    Albania scored 1 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · UEFA Nations League

    Albania conceded 0.9 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · UEFA Nations League

    Failed to score in 4 of those 9.

    Trend · UEFA Nations League

    Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

    Finland vs Albania: prediction & preview

    World · UEFA Nations League · Sat, 3 Oct 2026

    Finland meet Albania in the World, UEFA Nations League on 3 October 2026 at 14:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Finland at 2.3. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 40.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.44, about 64.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.62.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Finland vs Albania FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is the Finland vs Albania match?

    Kickoff is 14:00 on 3 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    What are the safest picks for Finland vs Albania?

    Finland is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.3. The margin-adjusted share is about 40.6%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 2.62 and under 2.5 is 1.44.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 2.2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.