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Fiorentina vs Como Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Italy · Serie ASun, 18 Oct 2026

Fiorentina

17th in table · 5 pts

WDLLD

Sun, 18 Oct 202614:00

1 : 3

Full time

Como

4th in table · 23 pts

LWWWW

Pre-match win probability

30.4%Fiorentina26.9%Draw42.8%Como

Our prediction

Como

Como is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.2
Confidence42.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Fiorentina 30.4%
  • Draw 26.9%
  • Como 42.8%

Season statistics

Serie A · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

FiorentinaComo
Goals scored (avg)
1.42
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
21
Wins
17
Played
910

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Fiorentina2W 2D 5L in last 9
  • 29 OctFiorentina2 – 2AtalantaD
  • 25 OctInter2 – 1FiorentinaL
  • 10 OctGenoa2 – 1FiorentinaL
  • 20 SeptFiorentina1 – 1NapoliD
  • 15 SeptFiorentina3 – 0PisaW
  • 11 SeptVenezia2 – 4FiorentinaW
  • 5 SeptFiorentina1 – 2TorinoL
  • 29 AugFiorentina0 – 3FrosinoneL
  • 24 AugAS Roma4 – 0FiorentinaL
Como6W 1D 2L in last 9
  • 1 NovComo1 – 0VeneziaW
  • 27 OctTorino1 – 3ComoW
  • 24 OctComo2 – 0SassuoloW
  • 21 OctComo4 – 1Manchester UnitedW
  • 14 OctFeyenoord3 – 2ComoL
  • 11 OctComo0 – 0AS RomaD
  • 20 SeptFrosinone2 – 0ComoL
  • 14 SeptComo2 – 1ParmaW
  • 10 SeptComo4 – 1RB LeipzigW
H2H
Head to headFiorentina 2W · 0D · Como 3W · 2.8 goals a game
  • 14 FebComo1 – 2Fiorentina
  • 27 JanFiorentina1 – 3Como
  • 21 SeptFiorentina1 – 2Como
  • 16 FebFiorentina0 – 2Como
  • 24 NovComo0 – 2Fiorentina

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.1% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals19.8% · 1.25.3% · 4.5
2.5 goals14.7% · 1.6210.4% · 2.3
3.5 goals9.5% · 2.515.6% · 1.53

Both teams to score

Yes60.9%
No39.1%

Double chance

1X42.9%
X257.1%

Match result

Fiorentina3.1
Draw3.5
Como2.2

Both teams to score

Yes60.9% · 1.53
No39.1% · 2.38

1X

Chance42.9%
Odds1.73

X2

Chance57.1%
Odds1.3

Fiorentina

Chance30.4%
Odds3.1

Draw

Chance26.9%
Odds3.5

Como

Chance42.8%
Odds2.2

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Como at 2.2

FiorentinaComo
Recent form30%70%
Attack41%59%
Defence33%67%
Goals model41%59%
Head-to-head40%60%
Overall42%58%

Trends

Trend · Serie A

Fiorentina scored 1.4 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Serie A

Fiorentina conceded 2 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Serie A

Failed to score in 2 of those 9.

Trend · Serie A

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 9.

Fiorentina vs Como: prediction & preview

Italy · Serie A · Sun, 18 Oct 2026

Fiorentina meet Como in the Italy, Serie A on 18 October 2026 at 14:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Como at 2.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 42.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.62, about 58.7% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.53.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Fiorentina vs Como FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Fiorentina vs Como match?

Kickoff is 14:00 on 18 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Fiorentina vs Como?

Como is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 42.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.62 and under 2.5 is 2.3.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.53. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.