Get Premium

Fluminense vs Palmeiras Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie ASat, 15 Aug 2026

Fluminense

4th in table · 54 pts

LLWLW

Sat, 15 Aug 202620:30

3 : 2

Full time

Palmeiras

2nd in table · 70 pts

WWLWD

Pre-match win probability

33.2%Fluminense29.9%Draw36.8%Palmeiras

Our prediction

X2 · Fluminense

Fluminense vs Palmeiras listed tip from the board.

Odds1.4
Confidence36.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Fluminense 33.2%
  • Draw 29.9%
  • Palmeiras 36.8%

Season statistics

Serie A · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

FluminensePalmeiras
Goals scored (avg)
1.51.5
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.40.6
Wins
1520
Played
3333

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Fluminense4W 0D 6L in last 10
  • 28 OctFluminense2 – 1InternacionalW
  • 24 OctChapecoense-sc2 – 1FluminenseL
  • 22 OctPalmeiras0 – 1FluminenseW
  • 18 OctFluminense1 – 2SantosL
  • 15 OctFluminense1 – 2PalmeirasL
  • 11 OctFlamengo1 – 0FluminenseL
  • 9 OctFluminense4 – 0CoritibaW
  • 20 SeptCorinthians1 – 3FluminenseW
  • 15 SeptPlatense2 – 1FluminenseL
  • 12 SeptAtletico-MG3 – 1FluminenseL
Palmeiras6W 2D 2L in last 10
  • 28 OctSantos0 – 0PalmeirasD
  • 24 OctPalmeiras2 – 0RB BragantinoW
  • 22 OctPalmeiras0 – 1FluminenseL
  • 17 OctAtletico Paranaense0 – 2PalmeirasW
  • 15 OctFluminense1 – 2PalmeirasW
  • 11 OctPalmeiras4 – 1CorinthiansW
  • 9 OctPalmeiras1 – 0BahiaW
  • 20 SeptGremio0 – 0PalmeirasD
  • 16 SeptLDU de Quito3 – 2PalmeirasL
  • 12 SeptPalmeiras2 – 0Sao PauloW
H2H
Head to headFluminense 4W · 1D · Palmeiras 4W · 1.8 goals a game
  • 22 OctPalmeiras0 – 1Fluminense
  • 15 OctFluminense1 – 2Palmeiras
  • 26 FebPalmeiras2 – 1Fluminense
  • 23 NovPalmeiras0 – 0Fluminense
  • 23 JulFluminense1 – 2Palmeiras
  • 8 DecPalmeiras0 – 1Fluminense
  • 25 JulFluminense1 – 0Palmeiras
  • 3 DecPalmeiras1 – 0Fluminense
  • 6 AugFluminense2 – 1Palmeiras

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22% · 1.083% · 8
1.5 goals17% · 1.47.9% · 3
2.5 goals10.8% · 2.214.4% · 1.65
3.5 goals5.9% · 419% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes48%
No52%

Double chance

1X48.3%
X251.7%

Match result

Fluminense2.88
Draw3.2
Palmeiras2.6

Both teams to score

Yes48% · 1.95
No52% · 1.8

1X

Chance48.3%
Odds1.5

X2

Chance51.7%
Odds1.4

Fluminense

Chance33.2%
Odds2.88

Draw

Chance29.9%
Odds3.2

Palmeiras

Chance36.8%
Odds2.6

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X2 at 1.4

FluminensePalmeiras
Recent form38%62%
Attack50%50%
Defence40%60%
Goals model50%50%
Head-to-head50%50%
Overall47%53%

Trends

Trend · Serie A

Fluminense scored 1.5 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Serie A

Fluminense conceded 1.4 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Serie A

Failed to score in 1 of those 10.

Trend · Serie A

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 10.

Fluminense vs Palmeiras: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie A · Sat, 15 Aug 2026

Fluminense meet Palmeiras in the Brazil, Serie A on 15 August 2026 at 20:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Palmeiras at 2.6. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 36.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.65, about 57.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Fluminense vs Palmeiras FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Fluminense vs Palmeiras match?

Kickoff is 20:30 on 15 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Fluminense vs Palmeiras?

Palmeiras is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.6. The margin-adjusted share is about 36.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.2 and under 2.5 is 1.65.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.95. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.