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Fortaleza EC vs Vila Nova Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie BSat, 14 Nov 2026

Fortaleza EC

5th in table · 62 pts

DWDDL

Sat, 14 Nov 202620:30

vs

Not started

Vila Nova

3rd in table · 66 pts

WDLDW

Pre-match win probability

38%Fortaleza EC30.4%Draw31.6%Vila Nova

Our prediction

Over 1.5 · Fortaleza EC

Fortaleza EC vs Vila Nova listed tip from the board.

Odds1.40
Confidence71.4%
ResultPending
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Fortaleza EC 38%
  • Draw 30.4%
  • Vila Nova 31.6%

Season statistics

Serie B · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Fortaleza ECVila Nova
Goals scored (avg)
1.41.4
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.10.8
Wins
1619
Played
3737

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Fortaleza EC3W 6D 1L in last 10
  • 7 NovNovorizontino2 – 1Fortaleza ECL
  • 2 NovFortaleza EC0 – 0Atletico GoianienseD
  • 24 OctPonte Preta2 – 2Fortaleza ECD
  • 17 OctSport Recife0 – 2Fortaleza ECW
  • 12 OctFortaleza EC2 – 2CRBD
  • 8 OctAmerica Mineiro0 – 1Fortaleza ECW
  • 3 OctFortaleza EC1 – 1Nautico RecifeD
  • 27 SeptFortaleza EC2 – 2Athletic ClubD
  • 20 SeptLondrina1 – 2Fortaleza ECW
  • 13 SeptFortaleza EC1 – 1CearaD
Vila Nova5W 4D 1L in last 10
  • 8 NovVila Nova1 – 0CriciumaW
  • 31 OctVila Nova2 – 2JuventudeD
  • 24 OctSão Bernardo3 – 2Vila NovaL
  • 18 OctVila Nova2 – 2NovorizontinoD
  • 11 OctNautico Recife0 – 2Vila NovaW
  • 8 OctVila Nova0 – 0CuiabaD
  • 3 OctBotafogo SP0 – 1Vila NovaW
  • 26 SeptVila Nova2 – 0LondrinaW
  • 18 SeptVila Nova1 – 0America MineiroW
  • 15 SeptAvai1 – 1Vila NovaD
H2H
Head to headFortaleza EC 2W · 2D · Vila Nova 1W · 2 goals a game
  • 22 JulVila Nova2 – 1Fortaleza EC
  • 22 SeptFortaleza EC2 – 0Vila Nova
  • 6 JunVila Nova0 – 0Fortaleza EC
  • 8 AugVila Nova0 – 0Fortaleza EC
  • 23 MayFortaleza EC3 – 2Vila Nova

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.8% · 1.082.9% · 8
1.5 goals16.8% · 1.48.5% · 2.75
2.5 goals10.4% · 2.2514.5% · 1.62
3.5 goals5.4% · 4.3319.6% · 1.2

Both teams to score

Yes48.9%
No51.1%

Double chance

1X34.8%
1234.8%
X230.5%

Match result

Fortaleza EC2.4
Draw3
Vila Nova2.88

Both teams to score

Yes48.9% · 1.91
No51.1% · 1.83

1X

Chance34.8%
Odds1.36

12

Chance34.8%
Odds1.36

X2

Chance30.5%
Odds1.55

Fortaleza EC

Chance38%
Odds2.4

Draw

Chance30.4%
Odds3

Vila Nova

Chance31.6%
Odds2.88

First half result

Fortaleza EC31% · 2.88
Draw43.5% · 2.05
Vila Nova25.5% · 3.5

Half goals

1st over 0.5100% · 1.4

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Over 1.5 at 1.40

Fortaleza ECVila Nova
Recent form44%56%
Attack50%50%
Defence46%54%
Goals model50%50%
Head-to-head60%40%
Overall55%45%

Trends

Trend · Serie B

Fortaleza EC scored 1.4 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Serie B

Fortaleza EC conceded 1.1 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Serie B

Failed to score in 1 of those 10.

Trend · Serie B

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 10.

Fortaleza EC vs Vila Nova: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie B · Sat, 14 Nov 2026

Fortaleza EC meet Vila Nova in the Brazil, Serie B on 14 November 2026 at 20:30 (Africa/Lagos). The numbers below are pre-match prices and team rates. They describe the match. They do not promise a result.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Fortaleza EC at 2.4. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 38% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.62, about 58.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.83.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Fortaleza EC vs Vila Nova FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Fortaleza EC vs Vila Nova match?

Kickoff is 20:30 on 14 November 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Fortaleza EC vs Vila Nova?

Fortaleza EC is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.4. The margin-adjusted share is about 38%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.25 and under 2.5 is 1.62.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.