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FS Jelgava vs Super Nova Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Latvia · VirsligaSat, 5 Sept 2026

FS Jelgava

7th in table · 32 pts

LLLLL

Sat, 5 Sept 202615:00

0 : 1

Full time

Super Nova

6th in table · 39 pts

WLLLD

Pre-match win probability

51%FS Jelgava24.8%Draw24.1%Super Nova

Our prediction

1X · FS Jelgava

FS Jelgava vs Super Nova listed tip from the board.

Odds1.25
Confidence51%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • FS Jelgava 51%
  • Draw 24.8%
  • Super Nova 24.1%

Season statistics

Virsliga · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

FS JelgavaSuper Nova
Goals scored (avg)
1.30.9
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.91.8
Wins
811
Played
3535

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

FS Jelgava2W 1D 6L in last 9
  • 1 NovAuda4 – 3FS JelgavaL
  • 25 OctFS Jelgava0 – 1BFC DaugavpilsL
  • 18 OctFK Liepaja3 – 0FS JelgavaL
  • 11 OctRīgas FS4 – 2FS JelgavaL
  • 19 SeptFS Jelgava0 – 1RigaL
  • 12 SeptGrobiņa0 – 0FS JelgavaD
  • 29 AugTukums1 – 4FS JelgavaW
  • 22 AugOgre United2 – 3FS JelgavaW
  • 9 AugFS Jelgava0 – 1AudaL
Super Nova2W 2D 5L in last 9
  • 1 NovFK Liepaja3 – 3Super NovaD
  • 25 OctSuper Nova0 – 3Rīgas FSL
  • 18 OctRiga2 – 1Super NovaL
  • 15 OctRīgas FS4 – 0Super NovaL
  • 10 OctSuper Nova2 – 1GrobiņaW
  • 20 SeptOgre United1 – 0Super NovaL
  • 15 SeptSuper Nova0 – 1RigaL
  • 10 SeptSuper Nova1 – 0TukumsW
  • 29 AugAuda1 – 1Super NovaD
H2H
Head to headFS Jelgava 4W · 5D · Super Nova 0W · 2.3 goals a game
  • 25 JunSuper Nova1 – 5FS Jelgava
  • 6 MayFS Jelgava1 – 0Super Nova
  • 15 MarSuper Nova1 – 1FS Jelgava
  • 4 OctSuper Nova1 – 1FS Jelgava
  • 20 JulFS Jelgava1 – 0Super Nova
  • 21 MaySuper Nova0 – 0FS Jelgava
  • 5 AprFS Jelgava2 – 1Super Nova
  • 1 OctSuper Nova1 – 1FS Jelgava
  • 9 JulFS Jelgava2 – 2Super Nova

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.6% · 1.042.6% · 9
1.5 goals18.8% · 1.256.3% · 3.75
2.5 goals13% · 1.811.7% · 2
3.5 goals7.8% · 317.2% · 1.36

Both teams to score

Yes51.5%
No48.5%

Double chance

1X57.6%
X242.4%

Match result

FS Jelgava1.75
Draw3.6
Super Nova3.7

Both teams to score

Yes51.5% · 1.8
No48.5% · 1.91

1X

Chance57.6%
Odds1.25

X2

Chance42.4%
Odds1.7

FS Jelgava

Chance51%
Odds1.75

Draw

Chance24.8%
Odds3.6

Super Nova

Chance24.1%
Odds3.7

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.25

FS JelgavaSuper Nova
Recent form47%53%
Attack59%41%
Defence48%52%
Goals model59%41%
Head-to-head72%28%
Overall68%32%

Trends

Trend · Virsliga

FS Jelgava scored 1.3 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Virsliga

FS Jelgava conceded 1.9 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Virsliga

Failed to score in 5 of those 9.

Trend · Virsliga

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 9.

FS Jelgava vs Super Nova: prediction & preview

Latvia · Virsliga · Sat, 5 Sept 2026

FS Jelgava meet Super Nova in the Latvia, Virsliga on 5 September 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is FS Jelgava at 1.75. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 51% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

FS Jelgava vs Super Nova FAQs

4 questions

What time is the FS Jelgava vs Super Nova match?

Kickoff is 15:00 on 5 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for FS Jelgava vs Super Nova?

FS Jelgava is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.75. The margin-adjusted share is about 51%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.8 and under 2.5 is 2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.