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Gremio vs Chapecoense-sc Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie ASun, 30 Aug 2026

Gremio

DDLWW

Sun, 30 Aug 202622:30

3 : 1

Full time

Chapecoense-sc

WDLLD

Pre-match win probability

60.7%Gremio23.2%Draw16.1%Chapecoense-sc

Our prediction

X2 · Gremio

Gremio vs Chapecoense-sc listed tip from the board.

Odds2.38
Confidence60.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Gremio 60.7%
  • Draw 23.2%
  • Chapecoense-sc 16.1%

Season statistics

Serie A · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

GremioChapecoense-sc
Goals scored (avg)
1.3–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.3–

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Gremio3W 3D 4L in last 10
  • 30 OctGremio2 – 0Atletico ParanaenseW
  • 26 OctCoritiba0 – 1GremioW
  • 18 OctGremio2 – 4CruzeiroL
  • 11 OctGremio1 – 1InternacionalD
  • 7 OctRemo1 – 1GremioD
  • 20 SeptGremio0 – 0PalmeirasD
  • 16 SeptBotafogo3 – 2GremioL
  • 12 SeptGremio1 – 2Vasco DA GamaL
  • 8 SeptVitoria1 – 0GremioL
  • 4 SeptGremio3 – 1InternacionalW
Chapecoense-sc0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headGremio 4W · 3D · Chapecoense-sc 2W · 2.4 goals a game
    • 4 JulGremio1 – 2Chapecoense-sc
    • 17 MarChapecoense-sc1 – 1Gremio
    • 26 JulChapecoense-sc0 – 0Gremio
    • 15 AprGremio0 – 1Chapecoense-sc
    • 20 NovChapecoense-sc1 – 3Gremio
    • 10 AugGremio2 – 1Chapecoense-sc
    • 10 NovChapecoense-SC0 – 1Gremio
    • 6 AugGremio3 – 3Chapecoense-SC
    • 18 NovGremio2 – 0Chapecoense-sc

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals22.7% · 1.052.2% · 11
    1.5 goals18.6% · 1.286.4% · 3.75
    2.5 goals12.9% · 1.8512.2% · 1.95
    3.5 goals7.5% · 3.217.5% · 1.36

    Both teams to score

    Yes48%
    No52%

    Double chance

    1X67.6%
    X232.4%

    Match result

    Gremio1.53
    Draw4
    Chapecoense-sc5.75

    Both teams to score

    Yes48% · 1.95
    No52% · 1.8

    1X

    Chance67.6%
    Odds1.14

    X2

    Chance32.4%
    Odds2.38

    Gremio

    Chance60.7%
    Odds1.53

    Draw

    Chance23.2%
    Odds4

    Chapecoense-sc

    Chance16.1%
    Odds5.75

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: X2 at 2.38

    GremioChapecoense-sc
    Recent form92%8%
    Attack57%43%
    Defence63%37%
    Goals model57%43%
    Head-to-head61%39%
    Overall79%21%

    Trends

    Trend · Serie A

    Gremio scored 1.3 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Serie A

    Gremio conceded 1.3 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Serie A

    Failed to score in 2 of those 10.

    Trend · Serie A

    Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 10.

    Gremio vs Chapecoense-sc: prediction & preview

    Brazil · Serie A · Sun, 30 Aug 2026

    Gremio meet Chapecoense-sc in the Brazil, Serie A on 30 August 2026 at 22:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–1.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Gremio at 1.53. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 60.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Gremio vs Chapecoense-sc FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is the Gremio vs Chapecoense-sc match?

    Kickoff is 22:30 on 30 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    What are the safest picks for Gremio vs Chapecoense-sc?

    Gremio is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.53. The margin-adjusted share is about 60.7%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.85 and under 2.5 is 1.95.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.95. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.