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Groningen vs Fortuna Sittard Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Netherlands · EredivisieFri, 28 Aug 2026

Groningen

WWLDL

Fri, 28 Aug 202619:00

2 : 3

Full time

Fortuna Sittard

DDWDD

Pre-match win probability

64.2%Groningen20%Draw15.8%Fortuna Sittard

Our prediction

1X · Groningen

Groningen vs Fortuna Sittard listed tip from the board.

Odds1.12
Confidence64.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Groningen 64.2%
  • Draw 20%
  • Fortuna Sittard 15.8%

Season statistics

Eredivisie · 8 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

GroningenFortuna Sittard
Goals scored (avg)
21.6
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
2.31.6

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Groningen2W 3D 3L in last 8
  • 29 OctGroningen0 – 2EmmenL
  • 25 OctNEC Nijmegen2 – 2GroningenD
  • 18 OctGroningen2 – 5AjaxL
  • 11 OctExcelsior1 – 5GroningenW
  • 18 SeptGroningen3 – 0PEC ZwolleW
  • 12 SeptGO Ahead Eagles1 – 1GroningenD
  • 6 SeptGroningen2 – 2TwenteD
  • 23 AugPSV Eindhoven5 – 1GroningenL
Fortuna Sittard4W 4D 1L in last 9
  • 31 OctFeyenoord1 – 1Fortuna SittardD
  • 28 OctSparta Rotterdam2 – 2Fortuna SittardD
  • 25 OctFortuna Sittard1 – 0ExcelsiorW
  • 18 OctNEC Nijmegen2 – 2Fortuna SittardD
  • 10 OctFortuna Sittard1 – 1TwenteD
  • 3 OctGenk1 – 2Fortuna SittardW
  • 19 SeptWillem II0 – 1Fortuna SittardW
  • 12 SeptFortuna Sittard1 – 5AjaxL
  • 6 SeptADO Den Haag2 – 3Fortuna SittardW
H2H
Head to headGroningen 3W · 1D · Fortuna Sittard 5W · 2.6 goals a game
  • 25 JanGroningen1 – 2Fortuna Sittard
  • 25 OctFortuna Sittard1 – 2Groningen
  • 16 MarGroningen1 – 0Fortuna Sittard
  • 26 OctFortuna Sittard1 – 0Groningen
  • 8 FebGroningen0 – 0Fortuna Sittard
  • 2 AprFortuna Sittard3 – 1Groningen
  • 13 NovGroningen2 – 3Fortuna Sittard
  • 12 FebGroningen0 – 1Fortuna Sittard
  • 27 NovFortuna Sittard1 – 4Groningen

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.2% · 1.021.2% · 19
1.5 goals20.7% · 1.144.3% · 5.5
2.5 goals15.8% · 1.59.5% · 2.5
3.5 goals10.7% · 2.214.6% · 1.62

Both teams to score

Yes57.6%
No42.4%

Double chance

1X70.1%
X229.9%

Match result

Groningen1.48
Draw4.75
Fortuna Sittard6

Both teams to score

Yes57.6% · 1.62
No42.4% · 2.2

1X

Chance70.1%
Odds1.12

X2

Chance29.9%
Odds2.62

Groningen

Chance64.2%
Odds1.48

Draw

Chance20%
Odds4.75

Fortuna Sittard

Chance15.8%
Odds6

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.12

GroningenFortuna Sittard
Recent form36%64%
Attack56%44%
Defence33%67%
Goals model56%44%
Head-to-head39%61%
Overall80%20%

Trends

Trend · Eredivisie

Groningen scored 2 per game in the last 8.

Trend · Eredivisie

Groningen conceded 2.3 per game in the last 8.

Trend · Eredivisie

Failed to score in 1 of those 8.

Trend · Eredivisie

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 8.

Groningen vs Fortuna Sittard: prediction & preview

Netherlands · Eredivisie · Fri, 28 Aug 2026

Groningen meet Fortuna Sittard in the Netherlands, Eredivisie on 28 August 2026 at 19:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Groningen at 1.48. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 64.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.5, about 62.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.62.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Groningen vs Fortuna Sittard FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Groningen vs Fortuna Sittard match?

Kickoff is 19:00 on 28 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Groningen vs Fortuna Sittard?

Groningen is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.48. The margin-adjusted share is about 64.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.5 and under 2.5 is 2.5.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.62. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.