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Guadeloupe vs St. Lucia Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · CONCACAF Nations LeagueMon, 5 Oct 2026

Guadeloupe

LLWDL

Mon, 5 Oct 202620:00

0 : 1

Full time

St. Lucia

Pre-match win probability

23%Guadeloupe22.5%Draw54.5%St. Lucia

Our prediction

St. Lucia

St. Lucia is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.65
Confidence54.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Guadeloupe 23%
  • Draw 22.5%
  • St. Lucia 54.5%

Season statistics

CONCACAF Nations League · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

GuadeloupeSt. Lucia
Goals scored (avg)
1.3–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.8–

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Guadeloupe4W 1D 4L in last 9
  • 2 OctSt. Lucia3 – 0GuadeloupeL
  • 28 SeptGuadeloupe2 – 2BarbadosD
  • 25 SeptBermuda1 – 2GuadeloupeW
  • 25 JunGuadeloupe2 – 3GuatemalaL
  • 21 JunJamaica2 – 1GuadeloupeL
  • 17 JunPanama5 – 2GuadeloupeL
  • 26 MarNicaragua0 – 1GuadeloupeW
  • 22 MarGuadeloupe1 – 0NicaraguaW
  • 19 NovGuadeloupe1 – 0Cayman IslandsW
St. Lucia0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals22.9% · 1.031.6% · 15
    1.5 goals19.7% · 1.25.4% · 4.33
    2.5 goals14.3% · 1.6510.7% · 2.2
    3.5 goals9% · 2.6216.4% · 1.44

    Both teams to score

    Yes57.6%
    No42.4%

    Double chance

    1X36.7%
    X263.3%

    Match result

    Guadeloupe3.9
    Draw4
    St. Lucia1.65

    Both teams to score

    Yes57.6% · 1.62
    No42.4% · 2.2

    1X

    Chance36.7%
    Odds2.1

    X2

    Chance63.3%
    Odds1.22

    Guadeloupe

    Chance23%
    Odds3.9

    Draw

    Chance22.5%
    Odds4

    St. Lucia

    Chance54.5%
    Odds1.65

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: St. Lucia at 1.65

    GuadeloupeSt. Lucia
    Recent form93%7%
    Attack57%43%
    Defence55%45%
    Goals model57%43%
    Overall30%70%

    Trends

    Trend · CONCACAF Nations League

    Guadeloupe scored 1.3 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · CONCACAF Nations League

    Guadeloupe conceded 1.8 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · CONCACAF Nations League

    Failed to score in 1 of those 9.

    Trend · CONCACAF Nations League

    Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

    Guadeloupe vs St. Lucia: prediction & preview

    World · CONCACAF Nations League · Mon, 5 Oct 2026

    Guadeloupe meet St. Lucia in the World, CONCACAF Nations League on 5 October 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is St. Lucia at 1.65. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 54.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.65, about 57.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.62.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Guadeloupe vs St. Lucia FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is the Guadeloupe vs St. Lucia match?

    Kickoff is 20:00 on 5 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    What are the safest picks for Guadeloupe vs St. Lucia?

    St. Lucia is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.65. The margin-adjusted share is about 54.5%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.65 and under 2.5 is 2.2.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.62. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.