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Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05 Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Germany · BundesligaSun, 6 Sept 2026

Hamburger SV

Sun, 6 Sept 202614:30

0 : 5

Full time

FSV Mainz 05

Pre-match win probability

32.8%Hamburger SV28.6%Draw38.6%FSV Mainz 05

Our prediction

FSV Mainz 05

FSV Mainz 05 is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.45
Confidence38.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Hamburger SV 32.8%
  • Draw 28.6%
  • FSV Mainz 05 38.6%

Season statistics

Bundesliga · highlighted side is stronger

Hamburger SVFSV Mainz 05

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Hamburger SV0W 0D 0L in last 0
    FSV Mainz 050W 0D 0L in last 0
      H2H
      Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

      Betting markets

      Bookmaker prices with margin removed

      Goal lineOverUnder
      0.5 goals22.7% · 1.052.2% · 11
      1.5 goals19.1% · 1.256% · 4
      2.5 goals12.5% · 1.9112.5% · 1.91
      3.5 goals7.5% · 3.217.6% · 1.36

      Both teams to score

      Yes55.7%
      No44.3%

      Double chance

      1X47.8%
      X252.2%

      Match result

      Hamburger SV2.88
      Draw3.3
      FSV Mainz 052.45

      Both teams to score

      Yes55.7% · 1.67
      No44.3% · 2.1

      1X

      Chance47.8%
      Odds1.53

      X2

      Chance52.2%
      Odds1.4

      Hamburger SV

      Chance32.8%
      Odds2.88

      Draw

      Chance28.6%
      Odds3.3

      FSV Mainz 05

      Chance38.6%
      Odds2.45

      No half-time prices stored.

      No corner prices stored.

      Model comparison

      Our pick: FSV Mainz 05 at 2.45

      Hamburger SVFSV Mainz 05
      Recent form50%50%
      Attack50%50%
      Defence50%50%
      Goals model50%50%
      Overall46%54%

      Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05: prediction & preview

      Germany · Bundesliga · Sun, 6 Sept 2026

      Hamburger SV meet FSV Mainz 05 in the Germany, Bundesliga on 6 September 2026 at 14:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–5.

      On the 1X2 market the shortest price is FSV Mainz 05 at 2.45. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 38.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

      The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.91, about 50% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

      Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

      Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05 FAQs

      4 questions

      What time is the Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05 match?

      Kickoff is 14:30 on 6 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

      What are the safest picks for Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05?

      FSV Mainz 05 is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.45. The margin-adjusted share is about 38.6%.

      What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

      Over 2.5 is 1.91 and under 2.5 is 1.91.

      Do both teams score on this match?

      Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.