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Heerenveen vs Excelsior Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Netherlands · EredivisieFri, 16 Oct 2026

Heerenveen

7th in table · 18 pts

LWDLD

Fri, 16 Oct 202619:00

4 : 0

Full time

Excelsior

12th in table · 11 pts

LDLDW

Pre-match win probability

61.5%Heerenveen21.2%Draw17.3%Excelsior

Our prediction

X2 · Heerenveen

Heerenveen vs Excelsior listed tip from the board.

Odds2.3
Confidence61.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Heerenveen 61.5%
  • Draw 21.2%
  • Excelsior 17.3%

Season statistics

Eredivisie · highlighted side is stronger

HeerenveenExcelsior
Wins
53
Played
1110

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Heerenveen0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Excelsior0W 0D 0L in last 0
      H2H
      Head to headHeerenveen 5W · 1D · Excelsior 2W · 2.5 goals a game
      • 7 MarExcelsior1 – 2Heerenveen
      • 4 OctHeerenveen2 – 1Excelsior
      • 19 JanExcelsior3 – 0Heerenveen
      • 23 SeptHeerenveen0 – 3Excelsior
      • 13 MayHeerenveen0 – 0Excelsior
      • 5 NovExcelsior0 – 1Heerenveen
      • 30 JulHeerenveen3 – 1Excelsior
      • 30 OctExcelsior0 – 3Heerenveen

      Betting markets

      Bookmaker prices with margin removed

      Goal lineOverUnder
      0.5 goals23.4% · 1.011% · 23
      1.5 goals21.5% · 1.13.4% · 7
      2.5 goals16.9% · 1.48.2% · 2.88
      3.5 goals12.4% · 1.9113.1% · 1.8

      Both teams to score

      Yes64.5%
      No35.5%

      Double chance

      1X66.3%
      X233.7%

      Match result

      Heerenveen1.55
      Draw4.5
      Excelsior5.5

      Both teams to score

      Yes64.5% · 1.44
      No35.5% · 2.62

      1X

      Chance66.3%
      Odds1.17

      X2

      Chance33.7%
      Odds2.3

      Heerenveen

      Chance61.5%
      Odds1.55

      Draw

      Chance21.2%
      Odds4.5

      Excelsior

      Chance17.3%
      Odds5.5

      No half-time prices stored.

      No corner prices stored.

      Model comparison

      Our pick: X2 at 2.3

      HeerenveenExcelsior
      Recent form50%50%
      Attack50%50%
      Defence50%50%
      Goals model50%50%
      Head-to-head69%31%
      Overall78%22%

      Heerenveen vs Excelsior: prediction & preview

      Netherlands · Eredivisie · Fri, 16 Oct 2026

      Heerenveen meet Excelsior in the Netherlands, Eredivisie on 16 October 2026 at 19:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–0.

      On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Heerenveen at 1.55. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 61.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

      The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.4, about 67.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.44.

      Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

      Heerenveen vs Excelsior FAQs

      4 questions

      What time is the Heerenveen vs Excelsior match?

      Kickoff is 19:00 on 16 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

      What are the safest picks for Heerenveen vs Excelsior?

      Heerenveen is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.55. The margin-adjusted share is about 61.5%.

      What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

      Over 2.5 is 1.4 and under 2.5 is 2.88.

      Do both teams score on this match?

      Both teams to score is priced at 1.44. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.