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Heracles vs Jong AZ Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Netherlands · Eerste DivisieFri, 11 Sept 2026

Heracles

Fri, 11 Sept 202619:00

3 : 2

Full time

Jong AZ

WLDWL

Pre-match win probability

71.5%Heracles16.9%Draw11.6%Jong AZ

Our prediction

Heracles

Heracles is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.3
Confidence71.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Heracles 71.5%
  • Draw 16.9%
  • Jong AZ 11.6%

Season statistics

Eerste Divisie · highlighted side is stronger

HeraclesJong AZ
Goals scored (avg)
–2.7
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
–2.1

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Heracles0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Jong AZ4W 2D 3L in last 9
    • 30 OctRoda2 – 1Jong AZL
    • 23 OctJong AZ5 – 4Helmond SportW
    • 16 OctVVV Venlo4 – 4Jong AZD
    • 9 OctJong AZ0 – 1Den BoschL
    • 18 SeptJong AZ4 – 1FC VolendamW
    • 14 SeptJong PSV U211 – 1Jong AZD
    • 5 SeptDordrecht3 – 6Jong AZW
    • 31 AugJong AZ2 – 1Jong UtrechtW
    • 28 AugJong AZ1 – 2MVVL
    H2H
    Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals23.5% · 1.010.8% · 29
    1.5 goals22.4% · 1.062.4% · 10
    2.5 goals19.5% · 1.225.7% · 4.2
    3.5 goals15.1% · 1.5710.6% · 2.25

    Both teams to score

    Yes64.5%
    No35.5%

    Double chance

    1X75.1%
    X224.9%

    Match result

    Heracles1.3
    Draw5.5
    Jong AZ8

    Both teams to score

    Yes64.5% · 1.44
    No35.5% · 2.62

    1X

    Chance75.1%
    Odds1.08

    X2

    Chance24.9%
    Odds3.25

    Heracles

    Chance71.5%
    Odds1.3

    Draw

    Chance16.9%
    Odds5.5

    Jong AZ

    Chance11.6%
    Odds8

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Heracles at 1.3

    HeraclesJong AZ
    Recent form7%93%
    Attack27%73%
    Defence53%47%
    Goals model27%73%
    Overall86%14%

    Trends

    Trend · Eerste Divisie

    Jong AZ scored 2.7 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Eerste Divisie

    Jong AZ conceded 2.1 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Eerste Divisie

    Failed to score in 1 of those 9.

    Trend · Eerste Divisie

    Over 2.5 goals in 7 of those 9.

    Heracles vs Jong AZ: prediction & preview

    Netherlands · Eerste Divisie · Fri, 11 Sept 2026

    Heracles meet Jong AZ in the Netherlands, Eerste Divisie on 11 September 2026 at 19:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–2.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Heracles at 1.3. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 71.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.22, about 77.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.44.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Heracles vs Jong AZ FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is the Heracles vs Jong AZ match?

    Kickoff is 19:00 on 11 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    What are the safest picks for Heracles vs Jong AZ?

    Heracles is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.3. The margin-adjusted share is about 71.5%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.22 and under 2.5 is 4.2.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.44. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.