Get Premium

Independiente Medellin vs Once Caldas Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Colombia · Primera ASun, 18 Oct 2026

Independiente Medellin

11th in table · 26 pts

LWLLL

Sun, 18 Oct 202602:10

0 : 2

Full time

Once Caldas

5th in table · 33 pts

DWDDW

Pre-match win probability

48.2%Independiente Medellin27.7%Draw24.1%Once Caldas

Our prediction

1X · Independiente Medellin

Independiente Medellin vs Once Caldas listed tip from the board.

Odds1.25
Confidence48.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Independiente Medellin 48.2%
  • Draw 27.7%
  • Once Caldas 24.1%

Season statistics

Primera A · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Independiente MedellinOnce Caldas
Goals scored (avg)
1.30.9
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.91
Wins
78
Played
1919

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Independiente Medellin2W 2D 5L in last 9
  • 29 OctInternacional de Bogota3 – 1Independiente MedellinL
  • 26 OctAtletico Nacional2 – 1Independiente MedellinL
  • 15 OctAtletico Nacional3 – 2Independiente MedellinL
  • 12 OctAmerica de Cali1 – 2Independiente MedellinW
  • 6 OctIndependiente Medellin0 – 1Santa FeL
  • 30 SeptIndependiente Medellin2 – 2MillonariosD
  • 27 SeptJunior2 – 0Independiente MedellinL
  • 23 SeptIndependiente Medellin2 – 1JaguaresW
  • 18 SeptBucaramanga2 – 2Independiente MedellinD
Once Caldas3W 3D 3L in last 9
  • 29 OctOnce Caldas1 – 0Alianza ValleduparW
  • 25 OctOnce Caldas1 – 1Deportivo PereiraD
  • 21 OctMillonarios1 – 1Once CaldasD
  • 10 OctOnce Caldas1 – 0LlanerosW
  • 4 OctInternacional de Bogota1 – 1Once CaldasD
  • 26 SeptOnce Caldas1 – 3BucaramangaL
  • 20 SeptDeportivo Pasto1 – 0Once CaldasL
  • 17 SeptOnce Caldas1 – 0Deportes TolimaW
  • 14 SeptOnce Caldas1 – 2Deportivo CaliL
H2H
Head to headIndependiente Medellin 3W · 4D · Once Caldas 2W · 3.1 goals a game
  • 3 AprOnce Caldas1 – 1Independiente Medellin
  • 13 OctOnce Caldas1 – 5Independiente Medellin
  • 20 AprIndependiente Medellin2 – 0Once Caldas
  • 28 SeptOnce Caldas0 – 2Independiente Medellin
  • 17 MarIndependiente Medellin1 – 2Once Caldas
  • 1 OctOnce Caldas2 – 2Independiente Medellin
  • 12 MayIndependiente Medellin2 – 2Once Caldas
  • 24 JulIndependiente Medellin1 – 1Once Caldas
  • 5 FebOnce Caldas2 – 1Independiente Medellin

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.6% · 1.052.2% · 11
1.5 goals18.9% · 1.256.3% · 3.75
2.5 goals12.5% · 1.912.5% · 1.9
3.5 goals7.3% · 3.2517.8% · 1.33

Both teams to score

Yes53.6%
No46.4%

Double chance

1X59%
X241%

Match result

Independiente Medellin1.95
Draw3.4
Once Caldas3.9

Both teams to score

Yes53.6% · 1.73
No46.4% · 2

1X

Chance59%
Odds1.25

X2

Chance41%
Odds1.8

Independiente Medellin

Chance48.2%
Odds1.95

Draw

Chance27.7%
Odds3.4

Once Caldas

Chance24.1%
Odds3.9

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.25

Independiente MedellinOnce Caldas
Recent form40%60%
Attack59%41%
Defence35%65%
Goals model59%41%
Head-to-head56%44%
Overall67%33%

Trends

Trend · Primera A

Independiente Medellin scored 1.3 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Primera A

Independiente Medellin conceded 1.9 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Primera A

Failed to score in 2 of those 9.

Trend · Primera A

Over 2.5 goals in 7 of those 9.

Independiente Medellin vs Once Caldas: prediction & preview

Colombia · Primera A · Sun, 18 Oct 2026

Independiente Medellin meet Once Caldas in the Colombia, Primera A on 18 October 2026 at 02:10 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Independiente Medellin at 1.95. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 48.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.9, about 50% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Independiente Medellin vs Once Caldas FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Independiente Medellin vs Once Caldas match?

Kickoff is 02:10 on 18 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Independiente Medellin vs Once Caldas?

Independiente Medellin is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.95. The margin-adjusted share is about 48.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.9 and under 2.5 is 1.9.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.73. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.