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Independiente vs Gimnasia M. Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Argentina · Liga Profesional ArgentinaSun, 30 Aug 2026

Independiente

5th in table · 24 pts

DWLLL

Sun, 30 Aug 202623:15

0 : 3

Live

Gimnasia M.

11th in table · 19 pts

WWLWL

Pre-match win probability

56.5%Independiente27.5%Draw16%Gimnasia M.

Our prediction

2 · Independiente

Independiente vs Gimnasia M. listed tip from the board.

Odds6
Confidence56.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Independiente 56.5%
  • Draw 27.5%
  • Gimnasia M. 16%

Season statistics

Liga Profesional Argentina · highlighted side is stronger

IndependienteGimnasia M.
Wins
65
Played
1616

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Independiente0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Gimnasia M.0W 0D 0L in last 0
      H2H
      Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

      Betting markets

      Bookmaker prices with margin removed

      Goal lineOverUnder
      0.5 goals22.1% · 1.072.6% · 9
      1.5 goals17.8% · 1.337.3% · 3.25
      2.5 goals11.4% · 2.0813.7% · 1.73
      3.5 goals6.3% · 3.7518.9% · 1.25

      Both teams to score

      Yes46.7%
      No53.3%

      Double chance

      1X66.3%
      X233.7%

      Match result

      Independiente1.7
      Draw3.5
      Gimnasia M.6

      Both teams to score

      Yes46.7% · 2
      No53.3% · 1.75

      1X

      Chance66.3%
      Odds1.12

      X2

      Chance33.7%
      Odds2.2

      Independiente

      Chance56.5%
      Odds1.7

      Draw

      Chance27.5%
      Odds3.5

      Gimnasia M.

      Chance16%
      Odds6

      No half-time prices stored.

      No corner prices stored.

      Model comparison

      Our pick: 2 at 6

      IndependienteGimnasia M.
      Recent form50%50%
      Attack50%50%
      Defence50%50%
      Goals model50%50%
      Overall78%22%

      Independiente vs Gimnasia M.: prediction & preview

      Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · Sun, 30 Aug 2026

      Independiente meet Gimnasia M. in the Argentina, Liga Profesional Argentina on 30 August 2026 at 23:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–3.

      On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Independiente at 1.7. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 56.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

      The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.73, about 54.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.75.

      Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

      Independiente vs Gimnasia M. FAQs

      4 questions

      What time is the Independiente vs Gimnasia M. match?

      Kickoff is 23:15 on 30 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

      What are the safest picks for Independiente vs Gimnasia M.?

      Independiente is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.7. The margin-adjusted share is about 56.5%.

      What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

      Over 2.5 is 2.08 and under 2.5 is 1.73.

      Do both teams score on this match?

      Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.