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Independiente vs Platense Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Argentina · Liga Profesional ArgentinaSun, 9 Aug 2026

Independiente

5th in table · 24 pts

WLDDL

Sun, 9 Aug 202601:30

0 : 1

Full time

Platense

12th in table · 16 pts

DDLWD

Pre-match win probability

51.1%Independiente30.2%Draw18.7%Platense

Our prediction

Independiente

Independiente is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.83
Confidence51.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Independiente 51.1%
  • Draw 30.2%
  • Platense 18.7%

Season statistics

Liga Profesional Argentina · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

IndependientePlatense
Goals scored (avg)
0.91
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.21.2
Wins
63
Played
1616

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Independiente3W 4D 3L in last 10
  • 25 OctIndependiente0 – 1Boca JuniorsL
  • 18 OctRacing Club1 – 1IndependienteD
  • 12 OctTalleres Cordoba0 – 0IndependienteD
  • 2 OctIndependiente1 – 4Instituto CordobaL
  • 19 SeptUnion Santa Fe1 – 2IndependienteW
  • 13 SeptIndependiente1 – 1San LorenzoD
  • 6 SeptCentral Cordoba de Santiago0 – 1IndependienteW
  • 30 AugIndependiente0 – 3Gimnasia M.L
  • 22 AugIndependiente0 – 0Independ. RivadaviaD
  • 17 AugLanus1 – 3IndependienteW
Platense3W 3D 4L in last 10
  • 29 OctAtletico Tucuman1 – 1PlatenseD
  • 23 OctGimnasia M.1 – 2PlatenseW
  • 17 OctPlatense0 – 1LanusL
  • 11 OctPlatense1 – 1Argentinos JRSD
  • 5 OctVelez Sarsfield2 – 2PlatenseD
  • 2 OctPlatense1 – 0Estudiantes L.P.W
  • 20 SeptPlatense0 – 1Newells Old BoysL
  • 15 SeptPlatense2 – 1FluminenseW
  • 12 SeptEstudiantes L.P.2 – 1PlatenseL
  • 8 SeptFluminense2 – 0PlatenseL
H2H
Head to headIndependiente 2W · 3D · Platense 2W · 2.1 goals a game
  • 8 FebPlatense0 – 1Independiente
  • 24 OctIndependiente3 – 0Platense
  • 17 FebPlatense1 – 1Independiente
  • 19 MayPlatense0 – 0Independiente
  • 5 FebIndependiente1 – 2Platense
  • 5 JulIndependiente1 – 3Platense
  • 1 AugPlatense1 – 1Independiente

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.2% · 1.113.6% · 6.5
1.5 goals15.7% · 1.59.4% · 2.5
2.5 goals9.1% · 2.615.9% · 1.48
3.5 goals4.3% · 5.520.7% · 1.14

Both teams to score

Yes41.1%
No58.9%

Double chance

1X62%
X238%

Match result

Independiente1.83
Draw3.1
Platense5

Both teams to score

Yes41.1% · 2.25
No58.9% · 1.57

1X

Chance62%
Odds1.17

X2

Chance38%
Odds1.91

Independiente

Chance51.1%
Odds1.83

Draw

Chance30.2%
Odds3.1

Platense

Chance18.7%
Odds5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Independiente at 1.83

IndependientePlatense
Recent form52%48%
Attack47%53%
Defence50%50%
Goals model47%53%
Head-to-head50%50%
Overall73%27%

Trends

Trend · Liga Profesional Argentina

Independiente scored 0.9 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Liga Profesional Argentina

Independiente conceded 1.2 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Liga Profesional Argentina

Failed to score in 4 of those 10.

Trend · Liga Profesional Argentina

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 10.

Independiente vs Platense: prediction & preview

Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · Sun, 9 Aug 2026

Independiente meet Platense in the Argentina, Liga Profesional Argentina on 9 August 2026 at 01:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Independiente at 1.83. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 51.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.48, about 63.7% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.57.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Independiente vs Platense FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Independiente vs Platense match?

Kickoff is 01:30 on 9 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Independiente vs Platense?

Independiente is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.83. The margin-adjusted share is about 51.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.6 and under 2.5 is 1.48.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.25. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.