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Independiente vs San Lorenzo Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Argentina · Liga Profesional ArgentinaSun, 13 Sept 2026

Independiente

WLDDL

Sun, 13 Sept 202623:15

1 : 1

Live

San Lorenzo

WLDWL

Pre-match win probability

44.9%Independiente31.5%Draw23.6%San Lorenzo

Our prediction

1X · Independiente

Independiente vs San Lorenzo listed tip from the board.

Odds1.22
Confidence44.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Independiente 44.9%
  • Draw 31.5%
  • San Lorenzo 23.6%

Season statistics

Liga Profesional Argentina · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

IndependienteSan Lorenzo
Goals scored (avg)
0.9–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.2–

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Independiente3W 3D 3L in last 9
  • 25 OctIndependiente0 – 1Boca JuniorsL
  • 18 OctRacing Club1 – 1IndependienteD
  • 12 OctTalleres Cordoba0 – 0IndependienteD
  • 2 OctIndependiente1 – 4Instituto CordobaL
  • 19 SeptUnion Santa Fe1 – 2IndependienteW
  • 6 SeptCentral Cordoba de Santiago0 – 1IndependienteW
  • 30 AugIndependiente0 – 3Gimnasia M.L
  • 22 AugIndependiente0 – 0Independ. RivadaviaD
  • 17 AugLanus1 – 3IndependienteW
San Lorenzo0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals20.9% · 1.123.9% · 6
    1.5 goals14.9% · 1.5710.4% · 2.25
    2.5 goals8.1% · 2.8816.8% · 1.4
    3.5 goals3.9% · 620.9% · 1.12

    Both teams to score

    Yes41.1%
    No58.9%

    Double chance

    1X58.2%
    X241.8%

    Match result

    Independiente2.1
    Draw3
    San Lorenzo4

    Both teams to score

    Yes41.1% · 2.25
    No58.9% · 1.57

    1X

    Chance58.2%
    Odds1.22

    X2

    Chance41.8%
    Odds1.7

    Independiente

    Chance44.9%
    Odds2.1

    Draw

    Chance31.5%
    Odds3

    San Lorenzo

    Chance23.6%
    Odds4

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: 1X at 1.22

    IndependienteSan Lorenzo
    Recent form92%8%
    Attack47%53%
    Defence64%36%
    Goals model47%53%
    Overall66%34%

    Trends

    Trend · Liga Profesional Argentina

    Independiente scored 0.9 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Liga Profesional Argentina

    Independiente conceded 1.2 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Liga Profesional Argentina

    Failed to score in 4 of those 9.

    Trend · Liga Profesional Argentina

    Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

    Independiente vs San Lorenzo: prediction & preview

    Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · Sun, 13 Sept 2026

    Independiente meet San Lorenzo in the Argentina, Liga Profesional Argentina on 13 September 2026 at 23:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Independiente at 2.1. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 44.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.4, about 67.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.57.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Independiente vs San Lorenzo FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is the Independiente vs San Lorenzo match?

    Kickoff is 23:15 on 13 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    What are the safest picks for Independiente vs San Lorenzo?

    Independiente is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.1. The margin-adjusted share is about 44.9%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 2.88 and under 2.5 is 1.4.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 2.25. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.