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Inter vs Napoli Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Italy · Serie ASat, 5 Sept 2026

Inter

2nd in table · 25 pts

WWWWL

Sat, 5 Sept 202617:00

3 : 2

Full time

Napoli

7th in table · 14 pts

LLWDW

Pre-match win probability

57.7%Inter25%Draw17.3%Napoli

Our prediction

1X · Inter

Inter vs Napoli listed tip from the board.

Odds1.14
Confidence57.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Inter 57.7%
  • Draw 25%
  • Napoli 17.3%

Season statistics

Serie A · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

InterNapoli
Goals scored (avg)
2.41.9
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.41.4
Wins
84
Played
109

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Inter7W 1D 2L in last 10
  • 31 OctAC Milan3 – 1InterL
  • 28 OctVenezia0 – 2InterW
  • 25 OctInter2 – 1FiorentinaW
  • 21 OctInter1 – 0Shakhtar DonetskW
  • 17 OctBologna1 – 3InterW
  • 13 OctInter3 – 4Club Brugge KVL
  • 10 OctInter3 – 0ParmaW
  • 3 OctInter2 – 0LumezzaneW
  • 19 SeptAS Roma2 – 2InterD
  • 14 SeptInter5 – 3UdineseW
Napoli4W 2D 3L in last 9
  • 28 OctMonza1 – 4NapoliW
  • 24 OctNapoli3 – 3AS RomaD
  • 20 OctNapoli4 – 3Bodo/GlimtW
  • 17 OctVenezia1 – 0NapoliL
  • 13 OctVillarreal3 – 1NapoliL
  • 10 OctNapoli3 – 0FrosinoneW
  • 20 SeptFiorentina1 – 1NapoliD
  • 13 SeptNapoli1 – 0BolognaW
  • 9 SeptNapoli0 – 1ArsenalL
H2H
Head to headInter 3W · 4D · Napoli 2W · 2.6 goals a game
  • 11 JanInter2 – 2Napoli
  • 25 OctNapoli3 – 1Inter
  • 1 MarNapoli1 – 1Inter
  • 10 NovInter1 – 1Napoli
  • 17 MarInter1 – 1Napoli
  • 22 JanNapoli0 – 1Inter
  • 3 DecNapoli0 – 3Inter
  • 21 MayNapoli3 – 1Inter
  • 4 JanInter1 – 0Napoli

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.8% · 1.052.2% · 11
1.5 goals18.7% · 1.286.4% · 3.75
2.5 goals12.5% · 1.9112.5% · 1.91
3.5 goals7.5% · 3.217.6% · 1.36

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X65.9%
X234.1%

Match result

Inter1.65
Draw3.8
Napoli5.5

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.91
No50% · 1.91

1X

Chance65.9%
Odds1.14

X2

Chance34.1%
Odds2.2

Inter

Chance57.7%
Odds1.65

Draw

Chance25%
Odds3.8

Napoli

Chance17.3%
Odds5.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.14

InterNapoli
Recent form61%39%
Attack56%44%
Defence50%50%
Goals model56%44%
Head-to-head56%44%
Overall77%23%

Trends

Trend · Serie A

Inter scored 2.4 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Serie A

Inter conceded 1.4 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Serie A

Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 10.

Trend · Serie A

Over 2.5 goals in 7 of those 10.

Inter vs Napoli: prediction & preview

Italy · Serie A · Sat, 5 Sept 2026

Inter meet Napoli in the Italy, Serie A on 5 September 2026 at 17:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Inter at 1.65. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 57.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.91, about 50% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.91.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Inter vs Napoli FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Inter vs Napoli match?

Kickoff is 17:00 on 5 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Inter vs Napoli?

Inter is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.65. The margin-adjusted share is about 57.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.91 and under 2.5 is 1.91.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.