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Kaizer Chiefs vs Mamelodi Sundowns Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

South-Africa · Premier Soccer LeagueSat, 15 Aug 2026

Kaizer Chiefs

5th in table · 14 pts

DLWWL

Sat, 15 Aug 202614:00

1 : 1

Full time

Mamelodi Sundowns

1st in table · 26 pts

Pre-match win probability

22.5%Kaizer Chiefs29%Draw48.6%Mamelodi Sundowns

Our prediction

Mamelodi Sundowns

Mamelodi Sundowns is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.85
Confidence48.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Kaizer Chiefs 22.5%
  • Draw 29%
  • Mamelodi Sundowns 48.6%

Season statistics

Premier Soccer League · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Kaizer ChiefsMamelodi Sundowns
Goals scored (avg)
1.3–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1–
Wins
38
Played
910

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Kaizer Chiefs3W 4D 2L in last 9
  • 31 OctOrlando Pirates2 – 1Kaizer ChiefsL
  • 27 OctKaizer Chiefs3 – 0TS GalaxyW
  • 23 OctKaizer Chiefs1 – 0Red ArrowsW
  • 17 OctRed Arrows1 – 0Kaizer ChiefsL
  • 13 OctKaizer Chiefs1 – 1StellenboschD
  • 20 SeptGolden Arrows0 – 0Kaizer ChiefsD
  • 12 SeptPolokwane City1 – 1Kaizer ChiefsD
  • 6 SeptKaizer Chiefs3 – 2SiweleleW
  • 26 AugRichards Bay2 – 2Kaizer ChiefsD
Mamelodi Sundowns0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headKaizer Chiefs 1W · 3D · Mamelodi Sundowns 5W · 2.7 goals a game
    • 6 MayMamelodi Sundowns1 – 1Kaizer Chiefs
    • 27 AugKaizer Chiefs0 – 0Mamelodi Sundowns
    • 13 AprMamelodi Sundowns1 – 2Kaizer Chiefs
    • 1 MarMamelodi Sundowns1 – 0Kaizer Chiefs
    • 2 NovKaizer Chiefs0 – 4Mamelodi Sundowns
    • 28 SeptKaizer Chiefs1 – 2Mamelodi Sundowns
    • 2 MayKaizer Chiefs1 – 5Mamelodi Sundowns
    • 23 SeptMamelodi Sundowns2 – 1Kaizer Chiefs
    • 2 SeptKaizer Chiefs1 – 1Mamelodi Sundowns

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals21.6% · 1.083.3% · 7
    1.5 goals16.7% · 1.48.5% · 2.75
    2.5 goals10.4% · 2.2514.4% · 1.62
    3.5 goals5.8% · 419.2% · 1.22

    Both teams to score

    Yes44.3%
    No55.7%

    Double chance

    1X39.4%
    X260.6%

    Match result

    Kaizer Chiefs4
    Draw3.1
    Mamelodi Sundowns1.85

    Both teams to score

    Yes44.3% · 2.1
    No55.7% · 1.67

    1X

    Chance39.4%
    Odds1.8

    X2

    Chance60.6%
    Odds1.17

    Kaizer Chiefs

    Chance22.5%
    Odds4

    Draw

    Chance29%
    Odds3.1

    Mamelodi Sundowns

    Chance48.6%
    Odds1.85

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Mamelodi Sundowns at 1.85

    Kaizer ChiefsMamelodi Sundowns
    Recent form93%7%
    Attack57%43%
    Defence67%33%
    Goals model57%43%
    Head-to-head28%72%
    Overall32%68%

    Trends

    Trend · Premier Soccer League

    Kaizer Chiefs scored 1.3 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Premier Soccer League

    Kaizer Chiefs conceded 1 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Premier Soccer League

    Failed to score in 2 of those 9.

    Trend · Premier Soccer League

    Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

    Kaizer Chiefs vs Mamelodi Sundowns: prediction & preview

    South-Africa · Premier Soccer League · Sat, 15 Aug 2026

    Kaizer Chiefs meet Mamelodi Sundowns in the South-Africa, Premier Soccer League on 15 August 2026 at 14:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Mamelodi Sundowns at 1.85. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 48.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.62, about 58.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.67.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Kaizer Chiefs vs Mamelodi Sundowns FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is the Kaizer Chiefs vs Mamelodi Sundowns match?

    Kickoff is 14:00 on 15 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    What are the safest picks for Kaizer Chiefs vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

    Mamelodi Sundowns is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.85. The margin-adjusted share is about 48.6%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 2.25 and under 2.5 is 1.62.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 2.1. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.