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Kalamata vs Aris Thessalonikis Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Greece · Super League 1Sat, 22 Aug 2026

Kalamata

8th in table · 10 pts

LWWLW

Sat, 22 Aug 202618:00

2 : 3

Full time

Aris Thessalonikis

4th in table · 16 pts

WWWLL

Pre-match win probability

27.7%Kalamata31.4%Draw40.9%Aris Thessalonikis

Our prediction

Aris Thessalonikis

Aris Thessalonikis is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.3
Confidence40.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Kalamata 27.7%
  • Draw 31.4%
  • Aris Thessalonikis 40.9%

Season statistics

Super League 1 · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

KalamataAris Thessalonikis
Goals scored (avg)
1.61.1
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.71.7
Wins
35
Played
88

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Kalamata4W 3D 3L in last 10
  • 28 OctNestos Chrisoupolis0 – 2KalamataW
  • 25 OctOlympiakos Piraeus5 – 0KalamataL
  • 18 OctKalamata4 – 3OFIW
  • 12 OctPAOK1 – 3KalamataW
  • 20 SeptKalamata0 – 1PanathinaikosL
  • 17 SeptKalamata1 – 1LarisaD
  • 13 SeptKalamata3 – 1Volos NFCW
  • 6 SeptAtromitos1 – 1KalamataD
  • 1 SeptVolos NFC2 – 2KalamataD
  • 29 AugPanetolikos2 – 0KalamataL
Aris Thessalonikis4W 2D 4L in last 10
  • 1 NovLevadiakos3 – 0Aris ThessalonikisL
  • 28 OctPanathinaikos2 – 1Aris ThessalonikisL
  • 25 OctAris Thessalonikis3 – 1AtromitosW
  • 18 OctKifisia1 – 2Aris ThessalonikisW
  • 11 OctAris Thessalonikis3 – 2Volos NFCW
  • 19 SeptAris Thessalonikis0 – 0Iraklis 1908D
  • 16 SeptAris Thessalonikis1 – 0MarkoW
  • 13 SeptPAOK2 – 0Aris ThessalonikisL
  • 10 SeptAsteras Tripolis1 – 1Aris ThessalonikisD
  • 5 SeptAEK Athens FC5 – 0Aris ThessalonikisL
H2H
Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.8% · 1.082.9% · 8
1.5 goals16.8% · 1.48.6% · 2.75
2.5 goals10.2% · 2.314.7% · 1.6
3.5 goals5.4% · 4.3319.6% · 1.2

Both teams to score

Yes48%
No52%

Double chance

1X45.3%
X254.7%

Match result

Kalamata3.4
Draw3
Aris Thessalonikis2.3

Both teams to score

Yes48% · 1.95
No52% · 1.8

1X

Chance45.3%
Odds1.57

X2

Chance54.7%
Odds1.3

Kalamata

Chance27.7%
Odds3.4

Draw

Chance31.4%
Odds3

Aris Thessalonikis

Chance40.9%
Odds2.3

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Aris Thessalonikis at 2.3

KalamataAris Thessalonikis
Recent form52%48%
Attack59%41%
Defence50%50%
Goals model59%41%
Overall40%60%

Trends

Trend · Super League 1

Kalamata scored 1.6 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Super League 1

Kalamata conceded 1.7 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Super League 1

Failed to score in 3 of those 10.

Trend · Super League 1

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 10.

Kalamata vs Aris Thessalonikis: prediction & preview

Greece · Super League 1 · Sat, 22 Aug 2026

Kalamata meet Aris Thessalonikis in the Greece, Super League 1 on 22 August 2026 at 18:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Aris Thessalonikis at 2.3. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 40.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.6, about 59% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Kalamata vs Aris Thessalonikis FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Kalamata vs Aris Thessalonikis match?

Kickoff is 18:00 on 22 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Kalamata vs Aris Thessalonikis?

Aris Thessalonikis is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.3. The margin-adjusted share is about 40.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.3 and under 2.5 is 1.6.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.95. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.