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KV Mechelen vs St. Truiden Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Belgium · Jupiler Pro LeagueSun, 11 Oct 2026

KV Mechelen

LDLWW

Sun, 11 Oct 202618:15

4 : 3

Full time

St. Truiden

Pre-match win probability

30.8%KV Mechelen27.2%Draw42%St. Truiden

Our prediction

St. Truiden

St. Truiden is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.2
Confidence42%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • KV Mechelen 30.8%
  • Draw 27.2%
  • St. Truiden 42%

Season statistics

Jupiler Pro League · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

KV MechelenSt. Truiden
Goals scored (avg)
1.4–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.8–

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

KV Mechelen2W 3D 4L in last 9
  • 31 OctKV Mechelen1 – 0GenkW
  • 18 OctKV Mechelen5 – 1AS EupenW
  • 3 OctKV Mechelen2 – 3KarpatyL
  • 19 SeptLommel United0 – 0KV MechelenD
  • 11 SeptKV Mechelen0 – 1AnderlechtL
  • 5 SeptKV Mechelen0 – 4KVC WesterloL
  • 29 AugRAAL La Louvière2 – 2KV MechelenD
  • 22 AugCharleroi2 – 0KV MechelenL
  • 16 AugKV Mechelen3 – 3Standard LiegeD
St. Truiden0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals22.7% · 1.041.8% · 13
    1.5 goals19.6% · 1.25.4% · 4.33
    2.5 goals14.1% · 1.6711% · 2.15
    3.5 goals9% · 2.6216.4% · 1.44

    Both teams to score

    Yes58.9%
    No41.1%

    Double chance

    1X44.4%
    X255.6%

    Match result

    KV Mechelen3
    Draw3.4
    St. Truiden2.2

    Both teams to score

    Yes58.9% · 1.57
    No41.1% · 2.25

    1X

    Chance44.4%
    Odds1.7

    X2

    Chance55.6%
    Odds1.36

    KV Mechelen

    Chance30.8%
    Odds3

    Draw

    Chance27.2%
    Odds3.4

    St. Truiden

    Chance42%
    Odds2.2

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: St. Truiden at 2.2

    KV MechelenSt. Truiden
    Recent form90%10%
    Attack58%42%
    Defence55%45%
    Goals model58%42%
    Overall42%58%

    Trends

    Trend · Jupiler Pro League

    KV Mechelen scored 1.4 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Jupiler Pro League

    KV Mechelen conceded 1.8 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Jupiler Pro League

    Failed to score in 4 of those 9.

    Trend · Jupiler Pro League

    Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

    KV Mechelen vs St. Truiden: prediction & preview

    Belgium · Jupiler Pro League · Sun, 11 Oct 2026

    KV Mechelen meet St. Truiden in the Belgium, Jupiler Pro League on 11 October 2026 at 18:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–3.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is St. Truiden at 2.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 42% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.67, about 56.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.57.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    KV Mechelen vs St. Truiden FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is the KV Mechelen vs St. Truiden match?

    Kickoff is 18:15 on 11 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    What are the safest picks for KV Mechelen vs St. Truiden?

    St. Truiden is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 42%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.67 and under 2.5 is 2.15.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.57. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

    KV Mechelen vs St. Truiden prediction, H2H and stats