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Las Palmas vs Burgos Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · Segunda DivisiónSun, 20 Sept 2026

Las Palmas

WDLWW

Sun, 20 Sept 202617:30

1 : 2

Full time

Burgos

WLLWW

Pre-match win probability

49.3%Las Palmas27.7%Draw23%Burgos

Our prediction

X2 · Las Palmas

Las Palmas vs Burgos listed tip from the board.

Odds1.8
Confidence49.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Las Palmas 49.3%
  • Draw 27.7%
  • Burgos 23%

Season statistics

Segunda División · highlighted side is stronger

Las PalmasBurgos
Goals scored (avg)
–1.2
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
–1

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Las Palmas0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Burgos4W 2D 3L in last 9
    • 26 OctFC Andorra2 – 3BurgosW
    • 18 OctBurgos1 – 0SabadellW
    • 12 OctBurgos0 – 1Granada CFL
    • 3 OctAlmeria2 – 1BurgosL
    • 27 SeptBurgos1 – 0EldenseW
    • 11 SeptBurgos3 – 1AD Ceuta FCW
    • 6 SeptOviedo0 – 0BurgosD
    • 31 AugBurgos2 – 2Real Sociedad IID
    • 23 AugSporting Gijon1 – 0BurgosL
    H2H
    Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals22% · 1.072.6% · 9
    1.5 goals17.3% · 1.367.9% · 3
    2.5 goals11.2% · 2.113.9% · 1.7
    3.5 goals6.3% · 3.7518.8% · 1.25

    Both teams to score

    Yes48.5%
    No51.5%

    Double chance

    1X59.6%
    X240.4%

    Match result

    Las Palmas1.91
    Draw3.4
    Burgos4.1

    Both teams to score

    Yes48.5% · 1.91
    No51.5% · 1.8

    1X

    Chance59.6%
    Odds1.22

    X2

    Chance40.4%
    Odds1.8

    Las Palmas

    Chance49.3%
    Odds1.91

    Draw

    Chance27.7%
    Odds3.4

    Burgos

    Chance23%
    Odds4.1

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: X2 at 1.8

    Las PalmasBurgos
    Recent form7%93%
    Attack45%55%
    Defence33%67%
    Goals model45%55%
    Overall68%32%

    Trends

    Trend · Segunda División

    Burgos scored 1.2 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Segunda División

    Burgos conceded 1 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Segunda División

    Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

    Trend · Segunda División

    Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

    Las Palmas vs Burgos: prediction & preview

    Spain · Segunda División · Sun, 20 Sept 2026

    Las Palmas meet Burgos in the Spain, Segunda División on 20 September 2026 at 17:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Las Palmas at 1.91. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 49.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.7, about 55.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Las Palmas vs Burgos FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is the Las Palmas vs Burgos match?

    Kickoff is 17:30 on 20 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    What are the safest picks for Las Palmas vs Burgos?

    Las Palmas is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.91. The margin-adjusted share is about 49.3%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 2.1 and under 2.5 is 1.7.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.