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Las Palmas vs Valladolid Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · Segunda DivisiónSun, 4 Oct 2026

Las Palmas

14th in table · 14 pts

LLLWW

Sun, 4 Oct 202617:30

2 : 2

Full time

Valladolid

16th in table · 12 pts

WWLLW

Pre-match win probability

40.1%Las Palmas30.4%Draw29.5%Valladolid

Our prediction

Las Palmas

Las Palmas is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.35
Confidence40.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Las Palmas 40.1%
  • Draw 30.4%
  • Valladolid 29.5%

Season statistics

Segunda División · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Las PalmasValladolid
Goals scored (avg)
1.21.7
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.91.2
Wins
43
Played
1111

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Las Palmas3W 1D 5L in last 9
  • 27 OctRSD Alcalá1 – 3Las PalmasW
  • 24 OctLas Palmas1 – 0Real Sociedad IIW
  • 17 OctLas Palmas0 – 3CastellónL
  • 11 OctMallorca3 – 1Las PalmasL
  • 27 SeptEibar3 – 2Las PalmasL
  • 20 SeptLas Palmas1 – 2BurgosL
  • 12 SeptCadiz0 – 1Las PalmasW
  • 4 SeptLas Palmas0 – 0LeganesD
  • 29 AugGirona5 – 2Las PalmasL
Valladolid4W 2D 3L in last 9
  • 29 OctCovadonga0 – 1ValladolidW
  • 23 OctGranada CF2 – 1ValladolidL
  • 18 OctValladolid2 – 3EldenseL
  • 12 OctValladolid5 – 0AlbaceteW
  • 27 SeptValladolid3 – 1CordobaW
  • 20 SeptAD Ceuta FC1 – 1ValladolidD
  • 13 SeptValladolid0 – 3OviedoL
  • 5 SeptValladolid1 – 0FC AndorraW
  • 30 AugCadiz1 – 1ValladolidD
H2H
Head to headLas Palmas 4W · 2D · Valladolid 1W · 2.3 goals a game
  • 3 MayLas Palmas2 – 1Valladolid
  • 14 NovValladolid0 – 1Las Palmas
  • 28 FebValladolid1 – 1Las Palmas
  • 7 DecLas Palmas2 – 1Valladolid
  • 19 MarValladolid0 – 1Las Palmas
  • 15 DecValladolid3 – 1Las Palmas
  • 15 AugLas Palmas1 – 1Valladolid

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.1% · 1.072.8% · 8.5
1.5 goals17.7% · 1.337.3% · 3.25
2.5 goals11.3% · 2.0813.6% · 1.73
3.5 goals6.7% · 3.518.4% · 1.28

Both teams to score

Yes51.5%
No48.5%

Double chance

1X55.5%
X244.5%

Match result

Las Palmas2.35
Draw3.1
Valladolid3.2

Both teams to score

Yes51.5% · 1.8
No48.5% · 1.91

1X

Chance55.5%
Odds1.3

X2

Chance44.5%
Odds1.62

Las Palmas

Chance40.1%
Odds2.35

Draw

Chance30.4%
Odds3.1

Valladolid

Chance29.5%
Odds3.2

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Las Palmas at 2.35

Las PalmasValladolid
Recent form42%58%
Attack41%59%
Defence38%62%
Goals model41%59%
Head-to-head71%29%
Overall58%42%

Trends

Trend · Segunda División

Las Palmas scored 1.2 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Segunda División

Las Palmas conceded 1.9 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Segunda División

Failed to score in 2 of those 9.

Trend · Segunda División

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

Las Palmas vs Valladolid: prediction & preview

Spain · Segunda División · Sun, 4 Oct 2026

Las Palmas meet Valladolid in the Spain, Segunda División on 4 October 2026 at 17:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Las Palmas at 2.35. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 40.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.73, about 54.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Las Palmas vs Valladolid FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Las Palmas vs Valladolid match?

Kickoff is 17:30 on 4 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Las Palmas vs Valladolid?

Las Palmas is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.35. The margin-adjusted share is about 40.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.08 and under 2.5 is 1.73.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.