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Latvia vs Montenegro Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · UEFA Nations LeagueFri, 2 Oct 2026

Latvia

4th in table · 1 pts

DL

Fri, 2 Oct 202617:00

1 : 2

Full time

Montenegro

1st in table · 10 pts

WDWWD

Pre-match win probability

20.8%Latvia25.2%Draw54%Montenegro

Our prediction

2 · Latvia

Latvia vs Montenegro listed tip from the board.

Odds1.73
Confidence54%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Latvia 20.8%
  • Draw 25.2%
  • Montenegro 54%

Season statistics

UEFA Nations League · highlighted side is stronger

LatviaMontenegro
Goals scored (avg)
–1.8
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
–1.3
Wins
03
Played
44

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Latvia0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Montenegro5W 2D 2L in last 9
    • 5 OctMontenegro0 – 0ArmeniaD
    • 28 SeptArmenia2 – 3MontenegroW
    • 25 SeptMontenegro2 – 1CyprusW
    • 5 JunSlovakia2 – 2MontenegroD
    • 1 JunBulgaria0 – 1MontenegroW
    • 31 MarMontenegro2 – 3SloveniaL
    • 27 MarMontenegro2 – 0AndorraW
    • 17 NovMontenegro2 – 3CroatiaL
    • 14 NovGibraltar1 – 2MontenegroW
    H2H
    Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals22.2% · 1.062.9% · 8
    1.5 goals17.7% · 1.337.2% · 3.25
    2.5 goals11.5% · 2.0513.4% · 1.75
    3.5 goals6.7% · 3.518.4% · 1.28

    Both teams to score

    Yes46.4%
    No53.6%

    Double chance

    1X36.9%
    X263.1%

    Match result

    Latvia4.5
    Draw3.7
    Montenegro1.73

    Both teams to score

    Yes46.4% · 2
    No53.6% · 1.73

    1X

    Chance36.9%
    Odds2

    X2

    Chance63.1%
    Odds1.17

    Latvia

    Chance20.8%
    Odds4.5

    Draw

    Chance25.2%
    Odds3.7

    Montenegro

    Chance54%
    Odds1.73

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: 2 at 1.73

    LatviaMontenegro
    Recent form6%94%
    Attack36%64%
    Defence37%63%
    Goals model36%64%
    Overall28%72%

    Trends

    Trend · UEFA Nations League

    Montenegro scored 1.8 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · UEFA Nations League

    Montenegro conceded 1.3 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · UEFA Nations League

    Failed to score in 1 of those 9.

    Trend · UEFA Nations League

    Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

    Latvia vs Montenegro: prediction & preview

    World · UEFA Nations League · Fri, 2 Oct 2026

    Latvia meet Montenegro in the World, UEFA Nations League on 2 October 2026 at 17:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Montenegro at 1.73. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 54% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.75, about 53.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.73.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Latvia vs Montenegro FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is the Latvia vs Montenegro match?

    Kickoff is 17:00 on 2 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    What are the safest picks for Latvia vs Montenegro?

    Montenegro is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.73. The margin-adjusted share is about 54%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 2.05 and under 2.5 is 1.75.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.