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Lecce vs Genoa Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Italy · Serie ASun, 1 Nov 2026

Lecce

14th in table · 9 pts

LLWLL

Sun, 1 Nov 202618:00

1 : 2

Live

Genoa

13th in table · 10 pts

LWLWW

Pre-match win probability

28.3%Lecce30.7%Draw40.9%Genoa

Our prediction

X2 · Lecce

Lecce vs Genoa listed tip from the board.

Odds1.33
Confidence75.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Lecce 28.3%
  • Draw 30.7%
  • Genoa 40.9%

Season statistics

Serie A · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

LecceGenoa
Goals scored (avg)
10.9
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
2.11.3
Wins
33
Played
99

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Lecce3W 0D 7L in last 10
  • 29 OctFrosinone5 – 1LecceL
  • 25 OctLecce0 – 2JuventusL
  • 18 OctUdinese0 – 3LecceW
  • 11 OctLecce1 – 2BolognaL
  • 20 SeptAC Milan3 – 0LecceL
  • 13 SeptLecce3 – 2MonzaW
  • 7 SeptCagliari1 – 0LecceL
  • 31 AugLecce0 – 4AS RomaL
  • 23 AugVenezia0 – 2LecceW
  • 17 AugPalermo2 – 0LecceL
Genoa4W 1D 5L in last 10
  • 28 OctGenoa2 – 0JuventusW
  • 25 OctGenoa1 – 0VeneziaW
  • 17 OctAS Roma2 – 0GenoaL
  • 10 OctGenoa2 – 1FiorentinaW
  • 2 OctRapid2 – 0GenoaL
  • 20 SeptParma2 – 1GenoaL
  • 15 SeptGenoa1 – 0SudtirolW
  • 12 SeptGenoa1 – 1FrosinoneD
  • 4 SeptGenoa1 – 4ComoL
  • 30 AugLazio1 – 0GenoaL
H2H
Head to headLecce 2W · 3D · Genoa 5W · 2.4 goals a game
  • 24 MayLecce1 – 0Genoa
  • 23 AugGenoa0 – 0Lecce
  • 14 MarGenoa2 – 1Lecce
  • 5 JanLecce0 – 0Genoa
  • 28 JanGenoa2 – 1Lecce
  • 22 SeptLecce1 – 0Genoa
  • 19 JulGenoa2 – 1Lecce
  • 8 DecLecce2 – 2Genoa
  • 11 AugGenoa4 – 0Lecce
  • 12 AugGenoa3 – 2Lecce

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.5% · 1.13.4% · 7
1.5 goals16.4% · 1.448.6% · 2.75
2.5 goals10% · 2.3815.1% · 1.57
3.5 goals5.3% · 4.519.7% · 1.2

Both teams to score

Yes48%
No52%

Double chance

1X30%
1234.6%
X235.4%

Match result

Lecce3.25
Draw3
Genoa2.25

Both teams to score

Yes48% · 1.95
No52% · 1.8

1X

Chance30%
Odds1.57

12

Chance34.6%
Odds1.36

X2

Chance35.4%
Odds1.33

Lecce

Chance28.3%
Odds3.25

Draw

Chance30.7%
Odds3

Genoa

Chance40.9%
Odds2.25

First half result

Lecce23% · 3.9
Draw44.9% · 2
Genoa32.1% · 2.8

Half goals

1st over 0.5100% · 1.44

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X2 at 1.33

LecceGenoa
Recent form41%59%
Attack53%47%
Defence35%65%
Goals model53%47%
Head-to-head35%65%
Overall41%59%

Trends

Trend · Serie A

Lecce scored 1 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Serie A

Lecce conceded 2.1 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Serie A

Failed to score in 5 of those 10.

Trend · Serie A

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 10.

Lecce vs Genoa: prediction & preview

Italy · Serie A · Sun, 1 Nov 2026

Lecce meet Genoa in the Italy, Serie A on 1 November 2026 at 18:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Genoa at 2.25. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 40.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.57, about 60.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Lecce vs Genoa FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Lecce vs Genoa match?

Kickoff is 18:00 on 1 November 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Lecce vs Genoa?

Genoa is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.25. The margin-adjusted share is about 40.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.38 and under 2.5 is 1.57.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.95. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.