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Lech Poznan vs Raków Częstochowa Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Poland · EkstraklasaSun, 6 Sept 2026

Lech Poznan

1st in table · 31 pts

WDWLW

Sun, 6 Sept 202616:30

1 : 0

Full time

Raków Częstochowa

18th in table · 6 pts

WLWLD

Pre-match win probability

59.5%Lech Poznan20.2%Draw20.2%Raków Częstochowa

Our prediction

1 · Lech Poznan

Lech Poznan vs Raków Częstochowa listed tip from the board.

Odds1.53
Confidence59.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Lech Poznan 59.5%
  • Draw 20.2%
  • Raków Częstochowa 20.2%

Season statistics

Ekstraklasa · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Lech PoznanRaków Częstochowa
Goals scored (avg)
2.31.8
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.72
Wins
102
Played
1212

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Lech Poznan5W 2D 3L in last 10
  • 31 OctLech Poznan3 – 1Wisla KrakowW
  • 28 OctSiarka Tarnobrzeg1 – 0Lech PoznanL
  • 25 OctLegia Warszawa1 – 2Lech PoznanW
  • 22 OctLech Poznan1 – 1SunderlandD
  • 18 OctLech Poznan6 – 1Korona KielceW
  • 15 OctLech Poznan0 – 4Bayer LeverkusenL
  • 10 OctSlask Wroclaw1 – 4Lech PoznanW
  • 3 OctLech Poznan2 – 2Energie CottbusD
  • 20 SeptLech Poznan5 – 1Radomiak RadomW
  • 17 SeptCrystal Palace4 – 0Lech PoznanL
Raków Częstochowa3W 1D 5L in last 9
  • 27 OctMotor Lublin1 – 1Raków CzęstochowaD
  • 24 OctWisla Krakow2 – 1Raków CzęstochowaL
  • 16 OctWieczysta Kraków1 – 2Raków CzęstochowaW
  • 9 OctRaków Częstochowa1 – 4GKS KatowiceL
  • 2 OctRaków Częstochowa4 – 1Polonia BytomW
  • 19 SeptKorona Kielce3 – 2Raków CzęstochowaL
  • 15 SeptRaków Częstochowa2 – 3Zaglebie LubinL
  • 11 SeptRaków Częstochowa2 – 1Motor LublinW
  • 3 SeptRaków Częstochowa1 – 2Gornik ZabrzeL
H2H
Head to headLech Poznan 3W · 2D · Raków Częstochowa 4W · 3.1 goals a game
  • 1 MarLech Poznan4 – 3Raków Częstochowa
  • 24 SeptRaków Częstochowa2 – 2Lech Poznan
  • 14 FebLech Poznan0 – 1Raków Częstochowa
  • 9 AugRaków Częstochowa0 – 0Lech Poznan
  • 3 MarRaków Częstochowa4 – 0Lech Poznan
  • 28 SeptLech Poznan4 – 1Raków Częstochowa
  • 14 MayRaków Częstochowa0 – 2Lech Poznan
  • 30 OctLech Poznan1 – 2Raków Częstochowa
  • 9 JulLech Poznan0 – 2Raków Częstochowa

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.2% · 1.021.2% · 19
1.5 goals20.7% · 1.144.3% · 5.5
2.5 goals15.8% · 1.59.5% · 2.5
3.5 goals10.7% · 2.214.6% · 1.62

Both teams to score

Yes57.6%
No42.4%

Double chance

1X65.8%
X234.2%

Match result

Lech Poznan1.53
Draw4.5
Raków Częstochowa4.5

Both teams to score

Yes57.6% · 1.62
No42.4% · 2.2

1X

Chance65.8%
Odds1.17

X2

Chance34.2%
Odds2.25

Lech Poznan

Chance59.5%
Odds1.53

Draw

Chance20.2%
Odds4.5

Raków Częstochowa

Chance20.2%
Odds4.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1 at 1.53

Lech PoznanRaków Częstochowa
Recent form63%37%
Attack56%44%
Defence57%43%
Goals model56%44%
Head-to-head44%56%
Overall75%25%

Trends

Trend · Ekstraklasa

Lech Poznan scored 2.3 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Ekstraklasa

Lech Poznan conceded 1.7 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Ekstraklasa

Failed to score in 3 of those 10.

Trend · Ekstraklasa

Over 2.5 goals in 8 of those 10.

Lech Poznan vs Raków Częstochowa: prediction & preview

Poland · Ekstraklasa · Sun, 6 Sept 2026

Lech Poznan meet Raków Częstochowa in the Poland, Ekstraklasa on 6 September 2026 at 16:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Lech Poznan at 1.53. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 59.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.5, about 62.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.62.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Lech Poznan vs Raków Częstochowa FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Lech Poznan vs Raków Częstochowa match?

Kickoff is 16:30 on 6 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Lech Poznan vs Raków Częstochowa?

Lech Poznan is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.53. The margin-adjusted share is about 59.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.5 and under 2.5 is 2.5.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.62. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.