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Leeds vs Manchester United Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · Premier LeagueSun, 18 Oct 2026

Leeds

11th in table · 11 pts

WDLDL

Sun, 18 Oct 202614:00

1 : 1

Full time

Manchester United

17th in table · 7 pts

DLLLL

Pre-match win probability

36.7%Leeds28%Draw35.3%Manchester United

Our prediction

X2 · Leeds

Leeds vs Manchester United listed tip from the board.

Odds1.5
Confidence36.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Leeds 36.7%
  • Draw 28%
  • Manchester United 35.3%

Season statistics

Premier League · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

LeedsManchester United
Goals scored (avg)
1.31
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.41.9
Wins
21
Played
99

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Leeds2W 4D 3L in last 9
  • 31 OctBournemouth2 – 0LeedsL
  • 25 OctSunderland0 – 0LeedsD
  • 10 OctArsenal2 – 1LeedsL
  • 20 SeptLeeds0 – 0Crystal PalaceD
  • 14 SeptLeeds4 – 1NewcastleW
  • 9 SeptChelsea6 – 3LeedsL
  • 5 SeptBrighton1 – 1LeedsD
  • 30 AugLeeds1 – 1BrentfordD
  • 25 AugNottingham Forest0 – 2LeedsW
Manchester United1W 2D 6L in last 9
  • 31 OctChelsea2 – 0Manchester UnitedL
  • 25 OctManchester United0 – 3BournemouthL
  • 21 OctComo4 – 1Manchester UnitedL
  • 13 OctAtletico Madrid2 – 0Manchester UnitedL
  • 10 OctManchester United1 – 1TottenhamD
  • 20 SeptFulham1 – 1Manchester UnitedD
  • 16 SeptManchester United2 – 3BrightonL
  • 13 SeptManchester United0 – 1Manchester CityL
  • 10 SeptManchester United4 – 0Sabah FAW
H2H
Head to headLeeds 1W · 4D · Manchester United 4W · 3 goals a game
  • 12 AugManchester United1 – 1Leeds
  • 13 AprManchester United1 – 2Leeds
  • 4 JanLeeds1 – 1Manchester United
  • 19 JulManchester United0 – 0Leeds
  • 12 JulManchester United2 – 0Leeds
  • 12 FebLeeds0 – 2Manchester United
  • 8 FebManchester United2 – 2Leeds
  • 20 FebLeeds2 – 4Manchester United
  • 14 AugManchester United5 – 1Leeds

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.8% · 1.052.2% · 11
1.5 goals18.7% · 1.286.4% · 3.75
2.5 goals12.5% · 1.9112.5% · 1.91
3.5 goals7.5% · 3.217.6% · 1.36

Both teams to score

Yes54.7%
No45.3%

Double chance

1X51.7%
X248.3%

Match result

Leeds2.6
Draw3.4
Manchester United2.7

Both teams to score

Yes54.7% · 1.7
No45.3% · 2.05

1X

Chance51.7%
Odds1.4

X2

Chance48.3%
Odds1.5

Leeds

Chance36.7%
Odds2.6

Draw

Chance28%
Odds3.4

Manchester United

Chance35.3%
Odds2.7

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X2 at 1.5

LeedsManchester United
Recent form67%33%
Attack57%43%
Defence59%41%
Goals model57%43%
Head-to-head33%67%
Overall51%49%

Trends

Trend · Premier League

Leeds scored 1.3 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Premier League

Leeds conceded 1.4 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Premier League

Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

Trend · Premier League

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

Leeds vs Manchester United: prediction & preview

England · Premier League · Sun, 18 Oct 2026

Leeds meet Manchester United in the England, Premier League on 18 October 2026 at 14:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Leeds at 2.6. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 36.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.91, about 50% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.7.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Leeds vs Manchester United FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Leeds vs Manchester United match?

Kickoff is 14:00 on 18 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Leeds vs Manchester United?

Leeds is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.6. The margin-adjusted share is about 36.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.91 and under 2.5 is 1.91.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.7. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.