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Leones del Norte vs Libertad Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Ecuador · Liga ProSun, 25 Oct 2026

Leones del Norte

8th in table · 39 pts

LDLLW

Sun, 25 Oct 202617:30

4 : 1

Full time

Libertad

7th in table · 41 pts

WLWWW

Pre-match win probability

45.9%Leones del Norte29%Draw25.1%Libertad

Our prediction

2 · Leones del Norte

Leones del Norte vs Libertad listed tip from the board.

Odds3.75
Confidence45.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Leones del Norte 45.9%
  • Draw 29%
  • Libertad 25.1%

Season statistics

Liga Pro · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Leones del NorteLibertad
Goals scored (avg)
11.8
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.60.9
Wins
1011
Played
3030

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Leones del Norte2W 2D 5L in last 9
  • 31 OctEmelec0 – 2Leones del NorteW
  • 18 OctLeones del Norte1 – 3EmelecL
  • 9 OctLibertad3 – 0Leones del NorteL
  • 19 SeptGuayaquil City FC1 – 1Leones del NorteD
  • 13 SeptLeones del Norte0 – 1Tecnico UniversitarioL
  • 8 SeptMushuc Runa SC1 – 1Leones del NorteD
  • 3 SeptLeones del Norte1 – 0Orense SCW
  • 31 AugEmelec2 – 1Leones del NorteL
  • 22 AugLeones del Norte2 – 3Independiente del ValleL
Libertad5W 2D 2L in last 9
  • 17 OctLibertad4 – 0Guayaquil City FCW
  • 9 OctLibertad3 – 0Leones del NorteW
  • 20 SeptEmelec1 – 2LibertadW
  • 14 SeptLibertad2 – 3Independiente del ValleL
  • 7 SeptDeportivo Cuenca0 – 1LibertadW
  • 4 SeptLibertad1 – 1EmelecD
  • 30 AugAucas1 – 0LibertadL
  • 25 AugLibertad1 – 0MacaraW
  • 15 AugGuayaquil City FC2 – 2LibertadD
H2H
Head to headLeones del Norte 1W · 1D · Libertad 1W · 3 goals a game
  • 9 OctLibertad3 – 0Leones del Norte
  • 4 JulLibertad1 – 3Leones del Norte
  • 28 FebLeones del Norte1 – 1Libertad

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.062.4% · 10
1.5 goals18.2% · 1.37% · 3.4
2.5 goals11.8% · 213.1% · 1.8
3.5 goals6.8% · 3.518.5% · 1.28

Both teams to score

Yes51.5%
No48.5%

Double chance

1X58.1%
X241.9%

Match result

Leones del Norte2.05
Draw3.25
Libertad3.75

Both teams to score

Yes51.5% · 1.8
No48.5% · 1.91

1X

Chance58.1%
Odds1.25

X2

Chance41.9%
Odds1.73

Leones del Norte

Chance45.9%
Odds2.05

Draw

Chance29%
Odds3.25

Libertad

Chance25.1%
Odds3.75

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 2 at 3.75

Leones del NorteLibertad
Recent form32%68%
Attack36%64%
Defence40%60%
Goals model36%64%
Head-to-head50%50%
Overall65%35%

Trends

Trend · Liga Pro

Leones del Norte scored 1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Liga Pro

Leones del Norte conceded 1.6 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Liga Pro

Failed to score in 2 of those 9.

Trend · Liga Pro

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

Leones del Norte vs Libertad: prediction & preview

Ecuador · Liga Pro · Sun, 25 Oct 2026

Leones del Norte meet Libertad in the Ecuador, Liga Pro on 25 October 2026 at 17:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Leones del Norte at 2.05. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 45.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Leones del Norte vs Libertad FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Leones del Norte vs Libertad match?

Kickoff is 17:30 on 25 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Leones del Norte vs Libertad?

Leones del Norte is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.05. The margin-adjusted share is about 45.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2 and under 2.5 is 1.8.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.