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Leones Negros UDG vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Leones Negros UDG

LWWDW

Sun, 18 Oct 202619:00

1 : 2

Full time

Alebrijes de Oaxaca

LLWWW

Pre-match win probability

65.9%Leones Negros UDG19.7%Draw14.4%Alebrijes de Oaxaca

Our prediction

Leones Negros UDG

Leones Negros UDG is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.42
Confidence65.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Leones Negros UDG 65.9%
  • Draw 19.7%
  • Alebrijes de Oaxaca 14.4%

Season statistics

Liga de Expansión MX · 8 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Leones Negros UDGAlebrijes de Oaxaca
Goals scored (avg)
2.11
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.41.9

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Leones Negros UDG4W 3D 1L in last 8
  • 25 OctMineros de Zacatecas0 – 2Leones Negros UDGW
  • 11 OctVenados FC1 – 1Leones Negros UDGD
  • 4 OctLeones Negros UDG6 – 3DoradosW
  • 26 SeptCruz Azul Hidalgo1 – 2Leones Negros UDGW
  • 20 SeptMonarcas2 – 0Leones Negros UDGL
  • 13 SeptLeones Negros UDG2 – 2CA La PazD
  • 7 SeptTapatío1 – 3Leones Negros UDGW
  • 30 AugLeones Negros UDG1 – 1PiratasD
Alebrijes de Oaxaca4W 1D 4L in last 9
  • 30 OctAlebrijes de Oaxaca1 – 0Mineros de ZacatecasW
  • 23 OctAlebrijes de Oaxaca2 – 1Cruz Azul HidalgoW
  • 9 OctAlebrijes de Oaxaca2 – 1Correcaminos UatW
  • 4 OctPiratas4 – 0Alebrijes de OaxacaL
  • 25 SeptAlebrijes de Oaxaca1 – 3CA La PazL
  • 20 SeptCancún3 – 0Alebrijes de OaxacaL
  • 11 SeptAlebrijes de Oaxaca1 – 0DurangoW
  • 6 SeptMonarcas4 – 1Alebrijes de OaxacaL
  • 28 AugAlebrijes de Oaxaca1 – 1TapatíoD
H2H
Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals59.9% · 1.5740.1% · 2.35

Double chance

1X70.2%
X229.8%

Match result

Leones Negros UDG1.42
Draw4.75
Alebrijes de Oaxaca6.5

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance70.2%
Odds1.11

X2

Chance29.8%
Odds2.62

Leones Negros UDG

Chance65.9%
Odds1.42

Draw

Chance19.7%
Odds4.75

Alebrijes de Oaxaca

Chance14.4%
Odds6.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Leones Negros UDG at 1.42

Leones Negros UDGAlebrijes de Oaxaca
Recent form54%46%
Attack68%32%
Defence59%41%
Goals model68%32%
Overall82%18%

Trends

Trend · Liga de Expansión MX

Leones Negros UDG scored 2.1 per game in the last 8.

Trend · Liga de Expansión MX

Leones Negros UDG conceded 1.4 per game in the last 8.

Trend · Liga de Expansión MX

Failed to score in 1 of those 8.

Trend · Liga de Expansión MX

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 8.

Leones Negros UDG vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca: prediction & preview

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · Sun, 18 Oct 2026

Leones Negros UDG meet Alebrijes de Oaxaca in the Mexico, Liga de Expansión MX on 18 October 2026 at 19:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Leones Negros UDG at 1.42. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 65.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.57, about 59.9% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Leones Negros UDG vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Leones Negros UDG vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca match?

Kickoff is 19:00 on 18 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Leones Negros UDG vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?

Leones Negros UDG is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.42. The margin-adjusted share is about 65.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.57 and under 2.5 is 2.35.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.