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Lexington vs Phoenix Rising Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

USA · USL ChampionshipSun, 9 Aug 2026

Lexington

4th in table · 48 pts

WWDWD

Sun, 9 Aug 202600:00

1 : 0

Full time

Phoenix Rising

8th in table · 40 pts

LLWWD

Pre-match win probability

51.3%Lexington25.6%Draw23.1%Phoenix Rising

Our prediction

1X · Lexington

Lexington vs Phoenix Rising listed tip from the board.

Odds1.22
Confidence51.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Lexington 51.3%
  • Draw 25.6%
  • Phoenix Rising 23.1%

Season statistics

USL Championship · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

LexingtonPhoenix Rising
Goals scored (avg)
2.71.8
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.61.9
Wins
1410
Played
3030

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Lexington5W 2D 3L in last 10
  • 25 OctPhoenix Rising3 – 3LexingtonD
  • 18 OctLas Vegas Lights3 – 5LexingtonW
  • 10 OctLexington0 – 0FC TulsaD
  • 4 OctLexington3 – 1El Paso LocomotiveW
  • 27 SeptMonterey Bay2 – 3LexingtonW
  • 20 SeptLexington6 – 0Orange County SCW
  • 13 SeptOakland Roots1 – 4LexingtonW
  • 6 SeptSporting JAX3 – 2LexingtonL
  • 30 AugLexington0 – 1Colorado SpringsL
  • 27 AugNew Mexico United2 – 1LexingtonL
Phoenix Rising4W 3D 3L in last 10
  • 25 OctPhoenix Rising3 – 3LexingtonD
  • 18 OctOrange County SC1 – 3Phoenix RisingW
  • 11 OctPhoenix Rising3 – 2Las Vegas LightsW
  • 4 OctNew Mexico United2 – 1Phoenix RisingL
  • 27 SeptOakland Roots3 – 0Phoenix RisingL
  • 20 SeptPhoenix Rising1 – 3El Paso LocomotiveL
  • 13 SeptPhoenix Rising2 – 1FC TulsaW
  • 6 SeptMonterey Bay1 – 1Phoenix RisingD
  • 30 AugPhoenix Rising2 – 1Indy ElevenW
  • 23 AugSacramento Republic2 – 2Phoenix RisingD
H2H
Head to headLexington 2W · 1D · Phoenix Rising 0W · 3 goals a game
  • 25 OctPhoenix Rising3 – 3Lexington
  • 9 AugLexington2 – 0Phoenix Rising
  • 5 JulPhoenix Rising0 – 1Lexington

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.5% · 1.042.6% · 9
1.5 goals19.5% · 1.25.4% · 4.33
2.5 goals14% · 1.6710.9% · 2.15
3.5 goals8.9% · 2.6216.2% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes55.7%
No44.3%

Double chance

1X61%
X239%

Match result

Lexington1.8
Draw3.6
Phoenix Rising4

Both teams to score

Yes55.7% · 1.67
No44.3% · 2.1

1X

Chance61%
Odds1.22

X2

Chance39%
Odds1.91

Lexington

Chance51.3%
Odds1.8

Draw

Chance25.6%
Odds3.6

Phoenix Rising

Chance23.1%
Odds4

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.22

LexingtonPhoenix Rising
Recent form53%47%
Attack60%40%
Defence56%44%
Goals model60%40%
Head-to-head83%17%
Overall69%31%

Trends

Trend · USL Championship

Lexington scored 2.7 per game in the last 10.

Trend · USL Championship

Lexington conceded 1.6 per game in the last 10.

Trend · USL Championship

Failed to score in 2 of those 10.

Trend · USL Championship

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 10.

Lexington vs Phoenix Rising: prediction & preview

USA · USL Championship · Sun, 9 Aug 2026

Lexington meet Phoenix Rising in the USA, USL Championship on 9 August 2026 at 00:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Lexington at 1.8. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 51.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.67, about 56.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Lexington vs Phoenix Rising FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Lexington vs Phoenix Rising match?

Kickoff is 00:00 on 9 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Lexington vs Phoenix Rising?

Lexington is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.8. The margin-adjusted share is about 51.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.67 and under 2.5 is 2.15.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.