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Lille vs Paris Saint Germain Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

France · Ligue 1Fri, 28 Aug 2026

Lille

2nd in table · 18 pts

LDLDW

Fri, 28 Aug 202619:45

2 : 2

Full time

Paris Saint Germain

1st in table · 20 pts

DLWDL

Pre-match win probability

18%Lille23.6%Draw58.4%Paris Saint Germain

Our prediction

1X · Lille

Lille vs Paris Saint Germain listed tip from the board.

Odds2.1
Confidence58.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Lille 18%
  • Draw 23.6%
  • Paris Saint Germain 58.4%

Season statistics

Ligue 1 · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

LilleParis Saint Germain
Goals scored (avg)
1.3–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.5–
Wins
56
Played
99

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Lille4W 2D 4L in last 10
  • 30 OctLille1 – 0LensW
  • 25 OctMonaco1 – 1LilleD
  • 21 OctLille2 – 4GalatasarayL
  • 17 OctLille1 – 1Stade Brestois 29D
  • 13 OctArsenal3 – 0LilleL
  • 10 OctLille1 – 0Le HavreW
  • 2 OctLille2 – 1Zulte WaregemW
  • 20 SeptNice2 – 1LilleL
  • 13 SeptLille2 – 0Estac TroyesW
  • 8 SeptLille2 – 3Real BetisL
Paris Saint Germain0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headLille 0W · 2D · Paris Saint Germain 7W · 4.6 goals a game
    • 16 JanParis Saint Germain3 – 0Lille
    • 5 OctLille1 – 1Paris Saint Germain
    • 1 MarParis Saint Germain4 – 1Lille
    • 1 SeptLille1 – 3Paris Saint Germain
    • 10 FebParis Saint Germain3 – 1Lille
    • 17 DecLille1 – 1Paris Saint Germain
    • 19 FebParis Saint Germain4 – 3Lille
    • 21 AugLille1 – 7Paris Saint Germain
    • 6 FebLille1 – 5Paris Saint Germain

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals22.7% · 1.052.2% · 11
    1.5 goals19.1% · 1.256% · 4
    2.5 goals13.2% · 1.811.9% · 2
    3.5 goals7.9% · 317% · 1.4

    Both teams to score

    Yes53.3%
    No46.7%

    Double chance

    1X35.8%
    X264.2%

    Match result

    Lille5.25
    Draw4
    Paris Saint Germain1.62

    Both teams to score

    Yes53.3% · 1.75
    No46.7% · 2

    1X

    Chance35.8%
    Odds2.1

    X2

    Chance64.2%
    Odds1.17

    Lille

    Chance18%
    Odds5.25

    Draw

    Chance23.6%
    Odds4

    Paris Saint Germain

    Chance58.4%
    Odds1.62

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: 1X at 2.1

    LilleParis Saint Germain
    Recent form93%7%
    Attack57%43%
    Defence60%40%
    Goals model57%43%
    Head-to-head11%89%
    Overall24%76%

    Trends

    Trend · Ligue 1

    Lille scored 1.3 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Ligue 1

    Lille conceded 1.5 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Ligue 1

    Failed to score in 1 of those 10.

    Trend · Ligue 1

    Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 10.

    Lille vs Paris Saint Germain: prediction & preview

    France · Ligue 1 · Fri, 28 Aug 2026

    Lille meet Paris Saint Germain in the France, Ligue 1 on 28 August 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–2.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Paris Saint Germain at 1.62. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 58.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.75.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Lille vs Paris Saint Germain FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is the Lille vs Paris Saint Germain match?

    Kickoff is 19:45 on 28 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    What are the safest picks for Lille vs Paris Saint Germain?

    Paris Saint Germain is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.62. The margin-adjusted share is about 58.4%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.8 and under 2.5 is 2.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.75. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.