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Lions vs Melbourne City Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Australia · Australia CupTue, 11 Aug 2026

Lions

WLLWW

Tue, 11 Aug 202610:30

2 : 0

Full time

Melbourne City

LWLDW

Pre-match win probability

24.7%Lions25.4%Draw49.9%Melbourne City

Our prediction

12 · Lions

Lions vs Melbourne City listed tip from the board.

Odds1.83
Confidence49.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Lions 24.7%
  • Draw 25.4%
  • Melbourne City 49.9%

Season statistics

Australia Cup · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

LionsMelbourne City
Goals scored (avg)
2.41.6
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.11.3

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Lions7W 0D 2L in last 9
  • 31 OctWollongong Wolves1 – 3LionsW
  • 22 OctLions2 – 1Preston LionsW
  • 18 OctLions1 – 2South HobartL
  • 15 SeptSouth Melbourne3 – 1LionsL
  • 12 SeptLions1 – 0Peninsula PowerW
  • 30 AugLions4 – 1Peninsula PowerW
  • 25 AugLions4 – 0North Sunshine EaglesW
  • 14 AugMoreton City Excelsior0 – 2LionsW
  • 7 AugLions4 – 2Brisbane Roar IIW
Melbourne City4W 2D 3L in last 9
  • 31 OctMelbourne City2 – 1SydneyW
  • 24 OctMelbourne Victory1 – 1Melbourne CityD
  • 17 OctAuckland3 – 1Melbourne CityL
  • 25 SeptOakleigh Cannons0 – 2Melbourne CityW
  • 7 AugMelbourne City0 – 2PalermoL
  • 26 JulWeston Bears0 – 3Melbourne CityW
  • 2 MayAuckland1 – 1Melbourne CityD
  • 26 AprMelbourne City1 – 2Adelaide UnitedL
  • 18 AprBrisbane Roar2 – 3Melbourne CityW
H2H
Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.1% · 1.011.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.2% · 1.225.8% · 4
2.5 goals13.8% · 1.711.1% · 2.1
3.5 goals8.9% · 2.6216.2% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes51.5%
No48.5%

Double chance

1X32.4%
X267.6%

Match result

Lions3.7
Draw3.6
Melbourne City1.83

Both teams to score

Yes51.5% · 1.8
No48.5% · 1.91

1X

Chance32.4%
Odds2.38

X2

Chance67.6%
Odds1.14

Lions

Chance24.7%
Odds3.7

Draw

Chance25.4%
Odds3.6

Melbourne City

Chance49.9%
Odds1.83

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 12 at 1.83

LionsMelbourne City
Recent form60%40%
Attack60%40%
Defence53%47%
Goals model60%40%
Overall33%67%

Trends

Trend · Australia Cup

Lions scored 2.4 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Australia Cup

Lions conceded 1.1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Australia Cup

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

Trend · Australia Cup

Over 2.5 goals in 7 of those 9.

Lions vs Melbourne City: prediction & preview

Australia · Australia Cup · Tue, 11 Aug 2026

Lions meet Melbourne City in the Australia, Australia Cup on 11 August 2026 at 10:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Melbourne City at 1.83. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 49.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.7, about 55.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Lions vs Melbourne City FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Lions vs Melbourne City match?

Kickoff is 10:30 on 11 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Lions vs Melbourne City?

Melbourne City is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.83. The margin-adjusted share is about 49.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.7 and under 2.5 is 2.1.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.