Get Premium

Lugo vs Mirandes Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1Sun, 15 Nov 2026

Lugo

1st in table · 28 pts

WWLWW

Sun, 15 Nov 202616:30

1 : 3

Full time

Mirandes

6th in table · 17 pts

LWDWL

Pre-match win probability

37.4%Lugo31.8%Draw30.9%Mirandes

Our prediction

1X · Lugo

Lugo vs Mirandes listed tip from the board.

Odds1.36
Confidence73.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Lugo 37.4%
  • Draw 31.8%
  • Mirandes 30.9%

Season statistics

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

LugoMirandes
Goals scored (avg)
1.61.4
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.81.4
Wins
95
Played
1111

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Lugo8W 1D 1L in last 10
  • 6 NovCacereño0 – 1LugoW
  • 1 NovLugo2 – 1Mérida ADW
  • 23 OctReal Unión4 – 1LugoL
  • 17 OctLugo3 – 0Deportivo La Coruña IIW
  • 12 OctLugo3 – 1UD LogroñésW
  • 2 OctReal Avilés1 – 2LugoW
  • 26 SeptLugo1 – 0Racing FerrolW
  • 20 SeptZamora1 – 2LugoW
  • 13 SeptLugo1 – 0CD CoriaW
  • 4 SeptPonferradina0 – 0LugoD
Mirandes4W 3D 3L in last 10
  • 8 NovMirandes0 – 2CD CoriaL
  • 31 OctUD Logroñés0 – 1MirandesW
  • 27 OctAtlético Tordesillas3 – 3MirandesD
  • 24 OctMirandes2 – 0Racing FerrolW
  • 17 OctBarakaldo2 – 0MirandesL
  • 10 OctMirandes1 – 1ZamoraD
  • 4 OctPonferradina1 – 0MirandesL
  • 27 SeptMirandes1 – 0Unionistas de SalamancaW
  • 19 SeptReal Unión2 – 2MirandesD
  • 12 SeptMérida AD3 – 4MirandesW
H2H
Head to headLugo 4W · 3D · Mirandes 3W · 2.3 goals a game
  • 6 DecLugo2 – 0Mirandes
  • 15 JanMirandes2 – 0Lugo
  • 30 OctLugo0 – 0Mirandes
  • 9 JanLugo2 – 1Mirandes
  • 16 DecLugo1 – 2Mirandes
  • 3 NovMirandes3 – 2Lugo
  • 15 MayLugo2 – 1Mirandes
  • 5 DecMirandes0 – 0Lugo
  • 20 JulLugo2 – 1Mirandes
  • 2 OctMirandes1 – 1Lugo

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.9% · 1.073.1% · 7.5
1.5 goals17.2% · 1.367.8% · 3
2.5 goals10.9% · 2.1514% · 1.67
3.5 goals6.2% · 3.7518.7% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes50.7%
No49.3%

Double chance

1X34.3%
1234.6%
X231.1%

Match result

Lugo2.38
Draw2.8
Mirandes2.88

Both teams to score

Yes50.7% · 1.8
No49.3% · 1.85

1X

Chance34.3%
Odds1.36

12

Chance34.6%
Odds1.35

X2

Chance31.1%
Odds1.5

Lugo

Chance37.4%
Odds2.38

Draw

Chance31.8%
Odds2.8

Mirandes

Chance30.9%
Odds2.88

First half result

Lugo30.4% · 2.9
Draw43% · 2.05
Mirandes26.7% · 3.3

Half goals

1st over 0.5100% · 1.4

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.36

LugoMirandes
Recent form63%37%
Attack53%47%
Defence58%42%
Goals model53%47%
Head-to-head55%45%
Overall55%45%

Trends

Trend · Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Lugo scored 1.6 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Lugo conceded 0.8 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Failed to score in 1 of those 10.

Trend · Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Kept a clean sheet in 5 of those 10.

Lugo vs Mirandes: prediction & preview

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Sun, 15 Nov 2026

Lugo meet Mirandes in the Spain, Primera División RFEF - Group 1 on 15 November 2026 at 16:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Lugo at 2.38. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 37.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.67, about 56.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Lugo vs Mirandes FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Lugo vs Mirandes match?

Kickoff is 16:30 on 15 November 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Lugo vs Mirandes?

Lugo is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.38. The margin-adjusted share is about 37.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.15 and under 2.5 is 1.67.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.